Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated
Chart says "As of July 2016"; press release dated 2016-08-16. Read from the 600x400 chart in the press release. The chart is small: labels and phases are legible, but in the dense lower part of the Innovation Trigger slope some marker symbols could not be matched to labels with certainty, so those bands are null. Phase boundaries were read by eye, not measured. Merged with the digitized positions: x_time, y_expectations, time_to_plateau_code and technology_index added; 8 null bands filled from the digitized markers. Labels and all 26 bands read directly agree with the digitized data.
| Label | Phase | Time to plateau | Confidence | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smart Dust | innovation_trigger | >10 | high | |
| 4D Printing | innovation_trigger | >10 | high | |
| General-Purpose Machine Intelligence | innovation_trigger | >10 | high | |
| 802.11ax | innovation_trigger | 5-10 | high | Marker symbol not resolvable at the chart's resolution. |
| Context Brokering | innovation_trigger | 5-10 | high | Marker symbol not resolvable at the chart's resolution. |
| Neuromorphic Hardware | innovation_trigger | >10 | high | Marker symbol not resolvable at the chart's resolution. |
| Data Broker PaaS (dbrPaaS) | innovation_trigger | 5-10 | high | Marker symbol not resolvable at the chart's resolution. |
| Quantum Computing | innovation_trigger | >10 | high | Marker symbol not resolvable at the chart's resolution. |
| Human Augmentation | innovation_trigger | >10 | high | Marker symbol not resolvable at the chart's resolution. |
| Personal Analytics | innovation_trigger | 5-10 | high | Marker symbol not resolvable at the chart's resolution. |
| Smart Workspace | innovation_trigger | 5-10 | high | Marker symbol not resolvable at the chart's resolution. |
| Volumetric Displays | innovation_trigger | >10 | high | |
| Conversational User Interfaces | innovation_trigger | 5-10 | high | |
| Brain-Computer Interface | innovation_trigger | >10 | high | |
| Virtual Personal Assistants | innovation_trigger | 5-10 | high | |
| Smart Data Discovery | innovation_trigger | 5-10 | high | |
| Affective Computing | innovation_trigger | 5-10 | high | |
| Commercial UAVs (Drones) | innovation_trigger | 5-10 | high | |
| IoT Platform | innovation_trigger | 5-10 | high | Marker centre sits on the Innovation Trigger / Peak boundary. |
| Gesture Control Devices | peak | 5-10 | high | Marker sits just right of the Innovation Trigger / Peak boundary. |
| Micro Data Centers | peak | 5-10 | high | Marker sits just right of the Innovation Trigger / Peak boundary. |
| Smart Robots | peak | 5-10 | high | |
| Blockchain | peak | 5-10 | high | |
| Connected Home | peak | 5-10 | high | |
| Cognitive Expert Advisors | peak | 5-10 | high | |
| Machine Learning | peak | 2-5 | high | |
| Software-Defined Security | peak | 5-10 | high | |
| Autonomous Vehicles | peak | >10 | high | |
| Nanotube Electronics | peak | 5-10 | high | |
| Software-Defined Anything (SDx) | peak | 2-5 | high | |
| Natural-Language Question Answering | trough | 2-5 | high | |
| Enterprise Taxonomy and Ontology Management | trough | >10 | high | |
| Augmented Reality | trough | 5-10 | high | |
| Virtual Reality | slope | 5-10 | high |