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Gartner Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies

31 editions. Pick a year to see its curve, or follow one technology across every edition.

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

1999

complete21 entries

<2 years2-5 years5-10 years>10 yearsobsolete before plateau years low confidenceGrey: no band on the chart. Exact positions where digitized; otherwise spread evenly within the phase on a schematic curve.

Read from a copy of the chart titled 'Gartner Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies, 1999' on Pinterest (628x365 GIF, same pin series as 1996 to 2007). The y axis is labelled 'Hype'. Legend 'Will reach "Plateau" in': white less than 2 years, dotted 2 to 5, grey 5 to 10, black more than 10. Exact date unknown. rank is the order along the curve, left to right. Bands read from the markers.

Label	Phase	Time to plateau	Confidence	Note
Quantum Computing	innovation_trigger	>10	high	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries.
Digital Ink	innovation_trigger	5-10	high	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries.
Text Mining	innovation_trigger	2-5	high	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries.
Synthetic Characters	innovation_trigger	5-10	high	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries.
Wearable Computers	innovation_trigger	5-10	high	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries.
Biometrics	innovation_trigger	2-5	medium	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries.
Bluetooth	innovation_trigger	2-5	low	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries. Near a phase boundary.
Linux	peak	<2	high	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries.
Enterprise Portals	peak	<2	high	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries.
Jini	peak	2-5	high	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries.
Knowledge Mgt	peak	2-5	medium	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries.
XML	trough	<2	low	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries. Near a phase boundary. Marker on the descending side at about two-thirds height.
Voice over IP	trough	2-5	medium	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries.
E-cash	trough	5-10	medium	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries.
3D Web	trough	2-5	high	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries. Marker at the bottom of the trough.
Speech Recognition	slope	5-10	medium	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries.
Smart Cards	slope	2-5	medium	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries.
xDSL/Cable Modems	slope	<2	medium	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries.
Data Mining	slope	2-5	high	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries.
PDAs	plateau	<2	medium	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries.
Java Language	plateau	<2	high	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries.