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Gartner Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies

31 editions. Pick a year to see its curve, or follow one technology across every edition.

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

2000

complete20 entries

<2 years2-5 years5-10 years>10 yearsobsolete before plateau years low confidenceGrey: no band on the chart. Exact positions where digitized; otherwise spread evenly within the phase on a schematic curve.

Read from a copy of the chart titled 'Gartner Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies, 2000' on Pinterest (635x370 GIF, same pin series as 1996 to 2007). Gartner document 302322 '2000 Hype Cycle of Emerging Technologies', 5 June 2000, analysts Jackie Fenn and Alexander Linden; its public summary matches the chart. Legend 'Will reach the plateau in': white less than two years, grey 2 to 5, crossed 5 to 10, black more than 10. rank is the order along the curve, left to right. Bands read from the markers.

Label	Phase	Time to plateau	Confidence	Note
Quantum Computing	innovation_trigger	>10	high	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries.
Audio Mining	innovation_trigger	5-10	high	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries.
Synthetic Characters	innovation_trigger	5-10	high	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries.
Digital Ink	innovation_trigger	5-10	high	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries.
Biometrics	innovation_trigger	2-5	high	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries. Gartner's summary: biometrics is 'rising fast'.
Voice Portals	innovation_trigger	2-5	high	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries. Gartner's summary: voice portals are 'rising fast'.
WAP/Wireless Web	peak	2-5	high	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries. Gartner's summary names wireless Web/WAP at the peak.
ASPs	peak	<2	high	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries. Gartner's summary names ASPs at the peak.
Webtops	peak	2-5	high	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries. Gartner's summary names Webtops at the peak.
Bluetooth	peak	2-5	low	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries. Near a phase boundary. Marker just past the peak on the descending side. Gartner's summary names only WAP, ASPs and Webtops at the peak; Visual Capitalist lists Bluetooth at the 2000 peak.
Enterprise Portals	trough	<2	low	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries. Near a phase boundary. Marker on the descending side at about two-thirds height.
Jini	trough	2-5	medium	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries.
3-D Web	trough	5-10	high	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries. Marker at the bottom of the trough.
Micropayments	trough	5-10	medium	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries.
Voice over IP	slope	<2	medium	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries.
Speech Recognition	slope	2-5	medium	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries.
XML	slope	<2	medium	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries.
Smart Cards	slope	2-5	high	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries.
xDSL/Cable Modems	plateau	<2	medium	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries.
Java Language	plateau	<2	high	Phase inferred from the label's position on the curve; the chart draws no phase boundaries. The Register calls Java 'fully mature' in 2000.