# World Energy Outlook · Hindsight | Envisioning Source: https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook --- --- 1. [Hindsight](/hindsight) 2. ›[International Energy Agency](/hindsight/iea) 3. ›World Energy Outlook --- # World Energy Outlook Numeric forecasts · 26 publications Validated: graded by rule against the published actuals, with an agent audit of the matching ([D19](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d19-numeric-forecasts-are-graded-by-a-deterministic-command)). --- [Publishers](/hindsight)[Forecast vs actual](/hindsight/forecasts)[Side by side](/hindsight/comparisons) --- - [2025](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2025) Published 2025-11-12 Predictions 28 Status complete - [2024](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2024) Published 2024-10 Predictions 20 Status complete - [2023](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2023) Published 2023-10 Predictions 20 Status complete - [2022](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2022) Published 2022-10 Predictions 16 Status complete - [2021](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2021) Published 2021-10 Predictions 16 Status complete - [2020](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2020) Published 2020-10 Predictions 16 Status complete - [2019](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2019) Published 2019-11 Predictions 20 Status complete - [2018](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2018) Published 2018-11 Predictions 20 Status complete - [2017](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2017) Published 2017-11 Predictions 20 Status complete - [2016](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2016) Published 2016-11 Predictions 24 Graded 4 Hit rate 2 of 4, counts only Status complete - [2015](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2015) Published 2015-11 Predictions 24 Graded 4 Hit rate 0 of 4, counts only Status complete - [2014](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2014) Published 2014-11 Predictions 24 Graded 4 Hit rate 0 of 4, counts only Status complete - [2013](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2013) Published 2013-11 Predictions 20 Graded 4 Hit rate 0 of 4, counts only Status complete - [2012](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2012) Published 2012-11 Predictions 24 Graded 5 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only Status complete - [2011](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2011) Published 2011-11 Predictions 24 Graded 5 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only Status complete - [2010](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2010) Published 2010-11 Predictions 24 Graded 5 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only Status complete - [2009](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2009) Published 2009-11 Predictions 20 Graded 3 Hit rate 0 of 3, counts only Status complete - [2008](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2008) Published 2008-11 Predictions 20 Graded 3 Hit rate 0 of 3, counts only Status complete - [2007](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2007) Published 2007-11 Predictions 6 Graded 1 Hit rate 0 of 1, counts only Status complete - [2006](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2006) Published 2006-11 Predictions 12 Graded 1 Hit rate 0 of 1, counts only Status complete - [2005](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2005) Published 2005-11 Predictions 0 Status partial - [2004](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2004) Published 2004-10 Predictions 16 Graded 6 Hit rate 0 of 6, counts only Status complete - [2003](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2003) Published 2003-11 Predictions 0 Status partial - [2002](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2002) Published 2002-09 Predictions 16 Graded 4 Hit rate 0 of 4, counts only Status complete - [2001](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2001) Published 2001-11 Predictions 0 Status partial - [2000](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2000) Published 2000-11 Predictions 1 Graded 1 Hit rate 0 of 1, counts only Status partial Publication Published Predictions Graded Hit rate Status [2025](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2025) 2025-11-12 28 complete [2024](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2024) 2024-10 20 complete [2023](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2023) 2023-10 20 complete [2022](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2022) 2022-10 16 complete [2021](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2021) 2021-10 16 complete [2020](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2020) 2020-10 16 complete [2019](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2019) 2019-11 20 complete [2018](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2018) 2018-11 20 complete [2017](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2017) 2017-11 20 complete [2016](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2016) 2016-11 24 4 2 of 4, counts only complete [2015](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2015) 2015-11 24 4 0 of 4, counts only complete [2014](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2014) 2014-11 24 4 0 of 4, counts only complete [2013](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2013) 2013-11 20 4 0 of 4, counts only complete [2012](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2012) 2012-11 24 5 1 of 5, counts only complete [2011](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2011) 2011-11 24 5 1 of 5, counts only complete [2010](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2010) 2010-11 24 5 1 of 5, counts only complete [2009](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2009) 2009-11 20 3 0 of 3, counts only complete [2008](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2008) 2008-11 20 3 0 of 3, counts only complete [2007](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2007) 2007-11 6 1 0 of 1, counts only complete [2006](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2006) 2006-11 12 1 0 of 1, counts only complete [2005](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2005) 2005-11 0 partial [2004](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2004) 2004-10 16 6 0 of 6, counts only complete [2003](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2003) 2003-11 0 partial [2002](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2002) 2002-09 16 4 0 of 4, counts only complete [2001](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2001) 2001-11 0 partial [2000](/hindsight/iea/world-energy-outlook/2000) 2000-11 1 1 0 of 1, counts only partial - hit - partial - miss Hit rate per publication: hits over hit, partial and miss. Below 20 graded claims, counts only ([D11](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d11-validation-thresholds)). Rates per publication carry no audit adjustment; the series rate on the publisher page does ([D28](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d28-the-audit-error-rate-widens-every-published-interval-d11-issue-61)). ## 2002: by target year - 2010 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2020 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2010 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2020 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only ## 2004: by target year - 2010 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 3 Hit rate 0 of 3, counts only - 2020 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 3 Hit rate 0 of 3, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2010 0 0 3 0 of 3, counts only 2020 0 0 3 0 of 3, counts only ## 2008: by target year - 2015 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 0 of 1, counts only - 2020 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2015 0 1 0 0 of 1, counts only 2020 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only ## 2009: by target year - 2015 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 0 of 1, counts only - 2020 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2015 0 1 0 0 of 1, counts only 2020 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only ## 2010: by target year - 2015 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 1, counts only - 2020 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 3 Hit rate 0 of 4, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2015 1 0 0 1 of 1, counts only 2020 0 1 3 0 of 4, counts only ## 2011: by target year - 2015 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 1, counts only - 2020 Hit 0 Partial 2 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 4, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2015 1 0 0 1 of 1, counts only 2020 0 2 2 0 of 4, counts only ## 2012: by target year - 2015 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 1, counts only - 2020 Hit 0 Partial 2 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 4, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2015 1 0 0 1 of 1, counts only 2020 0 2 2 0 of 4, counts only --- Data, code and grading rules are public at [github.com/envisioning/hindsight](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight). Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in [the decision log](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md). Think a verdict is wrong? [Open a dispute](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/issues/new?template=dispute-verdict.yml). ---