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Research Capability Services Signals About

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World Energy Outlook 2021 · Hindsight | Envisioning

Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

World Energy Outlook, 2021

International Energy Agency · all publications · published 2021-10 · 16 predictions

Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual

complete← 2020 2022 →

Main scenario: Stated Policies Scenario (STEPS). Announced Pledges, Sustainable Development and Net Zero Emissions scenarios not captured.

iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/4ed140c1-c3f3-4fd9-acae-789

2020

not graded
solar PV
solar PV, generation in 2020: 833 TWh
iea-weo-2021-001
not graded
wind
wind, generation in 2020: 1596 TWh
iea-weo-2021-005
not graded
solar PV
solar PV, installed capacity in 2020: 739 GW
iea-weo-2021-009
not graded
wind
wind, installed capacity in 2020: 737 GW
iea-weo-2021-013

2030

not graded
solar PV
solar PV, generation in 2030: 3492 TWh
iea-weo-2021-002
not graded
wind
wind, generation in 2030: 4102 TWh
iea-weo-2021-006
not graded
solar PV
solar PV, installed capacity in 2030: 2550 GW
iea-weo-2021-010
not graded
wind
wind, installed capacity in 2030: 1603 GW
iea-weo-2021-014

2040

not graded
solar PV
solar PV, generation in 2040: 6700 TWh
iea-weo-2021-003
not graded
wind
wind, generation in 2040: 6628 TWh
iea-weo-2021-007
not graded
solar PV
solar PV, installed capacity in 2040: 4516 GW
iea-weo-2021-011
not graded
wind
wind, installed capacity in 2040: 2357 GW
iea-weo-2021-015

2050

not graded
solar PV
solar PV, generation in 2050: 9667 TWh
iea-weo-2021-004
not graded
wind
wind, generation in 2050: 8805 TWh
iea-weo-2021-008
not graded
solar PV
solar PV, installed capacity in 2050: 6163 GW
iea-weo-2021-012
not graded
wind
wind, installed capacity in 2050: 2995 GW
iea-weo-2021-016

Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight. Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log. Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute.