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Research Capability Services Signals About

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World Energy Outlook 2022 · Hindsight | Envisioning

Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

World Energy Outlook, 2022

International Energy Agency · all publications · published 2022-10 · 16 predictions

Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual

complete← 2021 2023 →

Main scenario: Stated Policies Scenario (STEPS). Announced Pledges and Net Zero Emissions scenarios not captured.

iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/830fe099-5530-48f2-a7c1-11f

2021

not graded
solar PV
solar PV, generation in 2021: 1003 TWh
iea-weo-2022-001
not graded
wind
wind, generation in 2021: 1870 TWh
iea-weo-2022-005
not graded
solar PV
solar PV, installed capacity in 2021: 892 GW
iea-weo-2022-009
not graded
wind
wind, installed capacity in 2021: 832 GW
iea-weo-2022-013

2030

not graded
solar PV
solar PV, generation in 2030: 4011 TWh
iea-weo-2022-002
not graded
wind
wind, generation in 2030: 4604 TWh
iea-weo-2022-006
not graded
solar PV
solar PV, installed capacity in 2030: 3020 GW
iea-weo-2022-010
not graded
wind
wind, installed capacity in 2030: 1830 GW
iea-weo-2022-014

2040

not graded
solar PV
solar PV, generation in 2040: 8356 TWh
iea-weo-2022-003
not graded
wind
wind, generation in 2040: 8107 TWh
iea-weo-2022-007
not graded
solar PV
solar PV, installed capacity in 2040: 5573 GW
iea-weo-2022-011
not graded
wind
wind, installed capacity in 2040: 2853 GW
iea-weo-2022-015

2050

not graded
solar PV
solar PV, generation in 2050: 12118 TWh
iea-weo-2022-004
not graded
wind
wind, generation in 2050: 10691 TWh
iea-weo-2022-008
not graded
solar PV
solar PV, installed capacity in 2050: 7464 GW
iea-weo-2022-012
not graded
wind
wind, installed capacity in 2050: 3564 GW
iea-weo-2022-016

Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight. Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log. Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute.