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Research Capability Services Signals About

Research Capability Services Signals About

World Energy Outlook 2020 · Hindsight | Envisioning

Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

World Energy Outlook, 2020

International Energy Agency · all publications · published 2020-10 · 16 predictions

Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual

complete← 2019 2021 →

Main scenario: Stated Policies Scenario (STEPS). WEO 2020 also has a Delayed Recovery Scenario, Sustainable Development Scenario and a Net Zero Emissions by 2050 case; not captured.

iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/a72d8abf-de08-4385-8711-b8a

2019

not graded
solar PV
solar PV, generation in 2019: 665 TWh
iea-weo-2020-001
not graded
wind
wind, generation in 2019: 1423 TWh
iea-weo-2020-005
not graded
solar PV
solar PV, installed capacity in 2019: 603 GW
iea-weo-2020-009
not graded
wind
wind, installed capacity in 2019: 623 GW
iea-weo-2020-013

2025

not graded
solar PV
solar PV, generation in 2025: 1715 TWh
iea-weo-2020-002
not graded
wind
wind, generation in 2025: 2394 TWh
iea-weo-2020-006
not graded
solar PV
solar PV, installed capacity in 2025: 1319 GW
iea-weo-2020-010
not graded
wind
wind, installed capacity in 2025: 978 GW
iea-weo-2020-014

2030

not graded
solar PV
solar PV, generation in 2030: 2764 TWh
iea-weo-2020-003
not graded
wind
wind, generation in 2030: 3361 TWh
iea-weo-2020-007
not graded
solar PV
solar PV, installed capacity in 2030: 2019 GW
iea-weo-2020-011
not graded
wind
wind, installed capacity in 2030: 1299 GW
iea-weo-2020-015

2040

not graded
solar PV
solar PV, generation in 2040: 5478 TWh
iea-weo-2020-004
not graded
wind
wind, generation in 2040: 5441 TWh
iea-weo-2020-008
not graded
solar PV
solar PV, installed capacity in 2040: 3655 GW
iea-weo-2020-012
not graded
wind
wind, installed capacity in 2040: 1914 GW
iea-weo-2020-016

Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight. Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log. Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute.