# Future of the Internet canvassings · Hindsight | Envisioning

Source: https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet

---

---

1.  [Hindsight](/hindsight)
2.  ›[Pew Research Center and Elon University](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university)
3.  ›Future of the Internet canvassings

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# Future of the Internet canvassings

Expert surveys · 34 publications

Validated: two blind graders, an adjudicator on every disagreement, and an agent audit of a fixed sample ([D20](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d20-agents-do-all-grading-adjudication-and-audit-amends-d7-d11)).

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[Publishers](/hindsight)[Forecast vs actual](/hindsight/forecasts)[Side by side](/hindsight/comparisons)
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[Publications](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet)[Audit](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/audit)

-   [2023-02](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2023-02)
    
    Published
    
    2023-02-24
    
    Predictions
    
    1
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2022-06](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2022-06)
    
    Published
    
    2022-06-30
    
    Predictions
    
    1
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2021-11](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2021-11)
    
    Published
    
    2021-11-22
    
    Predictions
    
    1
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2021-06](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2021-06)
    
    Published
    
    2021-06-16
    
    Predictions
    
    1
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2021-02](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2021-02)
    
    Published
    
    2021-02-18
    
    Predictions
    
    1
    
    Graded
    
    1
    
    Hit rate
    
    0 of 1, counts only
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2020-02](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2020-02)
    
    Published
    
    2020-02-21
    
    Predictions
    
    1
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2019-10](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2019-10)
    
    Published
    
    2019-10-28
    
    Predictions
    
    1
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2018-12](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2018-12)
    
    Published
    
    2018-12-10
    
    Predictions
    
    1
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2018-04](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2018-04)
    
    Published
    
    2018-04-17
    
    Predictions
    
    1
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2017-10](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2017-10)
    
    Published
    
    2017-10-19
    
    Predictions
    
    1
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2017-08](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2017-08)
    
    Published
    
    2017-08-10
    
    Predictions
    
    1
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2017-06](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2017-06)
    
    Published
    
    2017-06-06
    
    Predictions
    
    1
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2017-05](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2017-05)
    
    Published
    
    2017-05-03
    
    Predictions
    
    1
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2017-03](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2017-03)
    
    Published
    
    2017-03-29
    
    Predictions
    
    1
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2017-02](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2017-02)
    
    Published
    
    2017-02-08
    
    Predictions
    
    1
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2014-12](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2014-12)
    
    Published
    
    2014-12-18
    
    Predictions
    
    1
    
    Graded
    
    1
    
    Hit rate
    
    1 of 1, counts only
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2014-10](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2014-10)
    
    Published
    
    2014-10-29
    
    Predictions
    
    1
    
    Graded
    
    1
    
    Hit rate
    
    1 of 1, counts only
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2014-08](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2014-08)
    
    Published
    
    2014-08-06
    
    Predictions
    
    1
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2014-07](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2014-07)
    
    Published
    
    2014-07-03
    
    Predictions
    
    1
    
    Graded
    
    1
    
    Hit rate
    
    0 of 1, counts only
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2014-05](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2014-05)
    
    Published
    
    2014-05-14
    
    Predictions
    
    1
    
    Graded
    
    1
    
    Hit rate
    
    1 of 1, counts only
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2012-07](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2012-07)
    
    Published
    
    2012-07
    
    Predictions
    
    3
    
    Graded
    
    3
    
    Hit rate
    
    2 of 3, counts only
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2012-06](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2012-06)
    
    Published
    
    2012-06-29
    
    Predictions
    
    1
    
    Graded
    
    1
    
    Hit rate
    
    0 of 1, counts only
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2012-05](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2012-05)
    
    Published
    
    2012-05-18
    
    Predictions
    
    1
    
    Graded
    
    1
    
    Hit rate
    
    1 of 1, counts only
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2012-04](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2012-04)
    
    Published
    
    2012-04-17
    
    Predictions
    
    1
    
    Graded
    
    1
    
    Hit rate
    
    0 of 1, counts only
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2012-03](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2012-03)
    
    Published
    
    2012-03-23
    
    Predictions
    
    1
    
    Graded
    
    1
    
    Hit rate
    
    0 of 1, counts only
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2012-02](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2012-02)
    
    Published
    
    2012-02-29
    
    Predictions
    
    1
    
    Graded
    
    1
    
    Hit rate
    
    0 of 1, counts only
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2010-07](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2010-07)
    
    Published
    
    2010-07
    
    Predictions
    
    2
    
    Graded
    
    1
    
    Hit rate
    
    1 of 1, counts only
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2010-06](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2010-06)
    
    Published
    
    2010-06-11
    
    Predictions
    
    1
    
    Graded
    
    1
    
    Hit rate
    
    0 of 1, counts only
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2010-05](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2010-05)
    
    Published
    
    2010-05-04
    
    Predictions
    
    1
    
    Graded
    
    1
    
    Hit rate
    
    1 of 1, counts only
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2010-03](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2010-03)
    
    Published
    
    2010-03-31
    
    Predictions
    
    1
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2010-02](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2010-02)
    
    Published
    
    2010-02-19
    
    Predictions
    
    5
    
    Graded
    
    4
    
    Hit rate
    
    1 of 2, counts only
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2008](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2008)
    
    Published
    
    2008-12-14
    
    Predictions
    
    8
    
    Graded
    
    8
    
    Hit rate
    
    3 of 8, counts only
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2006](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2006)
    
    Published
    
    2006-09-24
    
    Predictions
    
    7
    
    Graded
    
    6
    
    Hit rate
    
    1 of 5, counts only
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2005](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2005)
    
    Published
    
    2005-01-09
    
    Predictions
    
    14
    
    Graded
    
    14
    
    Hit rate
    
    5 of 14, counts only
    
    Status
    
    complete
    

Publication

Published

Predictions

Graded

Hit rate

Status

[2023-02](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2023-02)

2023-02-24

1

complete

[2022-06](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2022-06)

2022-06-30

1

complete

[2021-11](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2021-11)

2021-11-22

1

complete

[2021-06](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2021-06)

2021-06-16

1

complete

[2021-02](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2021-02)

2021-02-18

1

1

0 of 1, counts only

complete

[2020-02](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2020-02)

2020-02-21

1

complete

[2019-10](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2019-10)

2019-10-28

1

complete

[2018-12](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2018-12)

2018-12-10

1

complete

[2018-04](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2018-04)

2018-04-17

1

complete

[2017-10](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2017-10)

2017-10-19

1

complete

[2017-08](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2017-08)

2017-08-10

1

complete

[2017-06](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2017-06)

2017-06-06

1

complete

[2017-05](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2017-05)

2017-05-03

1

complete

[2017-03](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2017-03)

2017-03-29

1

complete

[2017-02](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2017-02)

2017-02-08

1

complete

[2014-12](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2014-12)

2014-12-18

1

1

1 of 1, counts only

complete

[2014-10](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2014-10)

2014-10-29

1

1

1 of 1, counts only

complete

[2014-08](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2014-08)

2014-08-06

1

complete

[2014-07](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2014-07)

2014-07-03

1

1

0 of 1, counts only

complete

[2014-05](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2014-05)

2014-05-14

1

1

1 of 1, counts only

complete

[2012-07](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2012-07)

2012-07

3

3

2 of 3, counts only

complete

[2012-06](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2012-06)

2012-06-29

1

1

0 of 1, counts only

complete

[2012-05](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2012-05)

2012-05-18

1

1

1 of 1, counts only

complete

[2012-04](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2012-04)

2012-04-17

1

1

0 of 1, counts only

complete

[2012-03](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2012-03)

2012-03-23

1

1

0 of 1, counts only

complete

[2012-02](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2012-02)

2012-02-29

1

1

0 of 1, counts only

complete

[2010-07](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2010-07)

2010-07

2

1

1 of 1, counts only

complete

[2010-06](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2010-06)

2010-06-11

1

1

0 of 1, counts only

complete

[2010-05](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2010-05)

2010-05-04

1

1

1 of 1, counts only

complete

[2010-03](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2010-03)

2010-03-31

1

complete

[2010-02](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2010-02)

2010-02-19

5

4

1 of 2, counts only

complete

[2008](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2008)

2008-12-14

8

8

3 of 8, counts only

complete

[2006](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2006)

2006-09-24

7

6

1 of 5, counts only

complete

[2005](/hindsight/pew-research-and-elon-university/future-of-the-internet/2005)

2005-01-09

14

14

5 of 14, counts only

complete

-   hit
-   partial
-   miss

Hit rate per publication: hits over hit, partial and miss. Below 20 graded claims, counts only ([D11](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d11-validation-thresholds)). Rates per publication carry no audit adjustment; the series rate on the publisher page does ([D28](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d28-the-audit-error-rate-widens-every-published-interval-d11-issue-61)).

---
Data, code and grading rules are public at [github.com/envisioning/hindsight](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight). Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in [the decision log](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md). Think a verdict is wrong? [Open a dispute](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/issues/new?template=dispute-verdict.yml).
---
