Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated
Tension pairs: respondents chose one of two opposite 2020 statements. quote is the first statement as printed; option_b is the second. share_agree is the share choosing quote, share_disagree the share choosing option_b; majority_view 'agree' means the first statement won. Shares are for the total sample (N=895), as the report headlines them; share_experts gives the 371 long-time experts. These are 5 of the 10 Future of the Internet IV tension pairs; the other 5 were published in later 2010 reports (editions 2010-03, 2010-05, 2010-06, 2010-07). The report itself warns that the survey targets elaborations, not votes. Non-random sample.
By 2020, people's use of the Internet has enhanced human intelligence; as people are allowed unprecedented access to more information, they become smarter and make better choices. Nicholas Carr was wrong: Google does not make us stupid.
pew-elon-imagining-2010-02-001
By 2020, it will be clear that the Internet has enhanced and improved reading, writing, and the rendering of knowledge.
pew-elon-imagining-2010-02-002
The hot gadgets and applications that will capture the imagination of users in 2020 are pretty evident today and will not take many of today's savviest innovators by surprise.
pew-elon-imagining-2010-02-003
In the years between now and 2020, the Internet will mostly remain a technology based on the end-to-end principle that was envisioned by the Internet's founders. Most disagreements over the way information flows online will be resolved in favor of a minimum number of restrictions over the information available online and the methods by which people access it.
pew-elon-imagining-2010-02-004
By 2020, the identification ID systems used online are tighter and more formal - fingerprints or DNA-scans or retina scans. The use of these systems is the gateway to most of the Internet-enabled activity that users are able to perform such as shopping, communicating, creating content, and browsing. Anonymous online activity is sharply curtailed.
pew-elon-imagining-2010-02-005