Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated
Tension pair from the Future of the Internet V survey (eight pairs, released in eight reports in 2012): respondents chose one of two opposite 2020 statements. quote is the first statement as printed in the report, option_b the second; share_agree is the share choosing quote. Shares are for all 1,021 respondents. The reports say many respondents called their choice a hope, or said the outcome would mix both statements. Non-random sample. Three reports in July 2012 share this edition; each entry carries its own published date.
In 2020, technology firms with their headquarters in democratic countries will be expected to abide by a set of norms - for instance, the "Responsibility to Protect" (R2P) - [...] a Western telecommunications firm would not be able to selectively monitor or block the Internet activity of protestors at the behest of an authoritarian government without significant penalties in other markets.
pew-elon-imagining-2012-07-001
Thanks to many changes, including the building of "the Internet of Things," human and machine analysis of large data sets will improve social, political, and economic intelligence by 2020. The rise of what is known as "Big Data" will facilitate things like "nowcasting" [...]. Overall, the rise of Big Data is a huge positive for society in nearly all respects.
pew-elon-imagining-2012-07-002
In 2020, higher education will not be much different from the way it is today. [...] Most universities will mostly require in-person, on-campus attendance of students most of the time at courses featuring a lot of traditional lectures. Most universities' assessment of learning and their requirements for graduation will be about the same as they are now.
pew-elon-imagining-2012-07-003