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The initial success of China's zero-Covid policy and Xi's personal attachment to it makes it impossible to change course.
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The physical world is a mess because no countries are willing or able to provide global leadership; digital space is even more poorly governed.
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This year's vote will not itself provoke a crisis, but it represents a historic tipping point.
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Xi's policies increase the risk of stagnation at a time when the Chinese economy is on weak footing.
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If Putin doesn't get concessions from the US-led West, he is likely to act.
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The Biden administration failed to prepare for the possibility that Iran would not be interested in reviving the nuclear deal.
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The energy transition is happening, but it won't be smooth.
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No one will fill the global power vacuum; many countries and regions will suffer the consequences.
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Multinationals with operations in the West and China will face a “two-way risk.”
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Erdogan's foreign policy positions will remain combative to distract voters from the economic crisis.
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We keep hearing this argument: The US and China are locked in a new Cold War. It's wrong.
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As the locals say, Brazil isn't for amateurs. Don't get suckered.
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