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Research Capability Services Signals About

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Iran · Hindsight | Envisioning

Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

Iran

Eurasia Group, Top Risks, 2022, published 2022-01-03

Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual

The Biden administration failed to prepare for the possibility that Iran would not be interested in reviving the nuclear deal.

Verdict

Not graded yet.

The same forecast in other editions

2007rank 1
2008rank 2
2010rank 2
2011rank 1
2013rank 8
2014rank 4
2019rank 3
2022rank 6

All captured fields

ranking: top risks
rank: 6
summary: Iran does not want to revive the nuclear deal, and the US is unprepared for that.
horizon: calendar year
confidence: high

Permalink

https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eurasia-top-risks-2022-006

Cite

Hindsight, claim eurasia-top-risks-2022-006. Envisioning. https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eurasia-top-risks-2022-006

Dispute this verdict

Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight. Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log. Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute.