Space tourism becomes mainstream around 2020
Grader A: miss
Grader B: miss
agrees with A, without seeing its verdict
Audit: confirmed
in the fixed audit sample (D11)
Published: miss
Grader A: miss
Space tourism stayed a luxury activity for a few hundred people. About 100 civilians flew with private companies by June 2025. In 2025 there were 28 orbital and 42 suborbital travellers. By 2026 both suborbital operators paused flights. Below 5% of any population.
Test: Share of target users (travellers): about 100 private civilian space travellers total by mid-2025, effectively 0%.
Grader B: miss
Space tourism flights began in 2021 but stayed at a tiny scale. About 63 people had flown as space tourists by 2024. Virgin Galactic stopped flying in June 2024 and Blue Origin paused New Shepard tourism in January 2026. Share of any consumer market is effectively 0%. Window closed 2025.
Test: 20% of target users (affluent travellers). Actual: about 63 space tourists in total by 2024.