# Envisioning Technology posters · Hindsight | Envisioning Source: https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/envisioning/technology --- --- 1. [Hindsight](/hindsight) 2. ›[Envisioning](/hindsight/envisioning) 3. ›Envisioning Technology posters --- # Envisioning Technology posters Technology placements · 2 publications Validated: two blind graders, an adjudicator on every disagreement, and an agent audit of a fixed sample ([D20](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d20-agents-do-all-grading-adjudication-and-audit-amends-d7-d11)). --- [Publishers](/hindsight)[Forecast vs actual](/hindsight/forecasts)[Side by side](/hindsight/comparisons) --- [Publications](/hindsight/envisioning/technology)[Audit](/hindsight/envisioning/technology/audit) - [2012](/hindsight/envisioning/technology/2012) Published 2012-02-10 Predictions 128 Graded 87 Hit rate 42% of 85 Status complete - [2011](/hindsight/envisioning/technology/2011) Published 2011-08 Predictions 101 Graded 23 Hit rate 57% of 23 Status complete Publication Published Predictions Graded Hit rate Status [2012](/hindsight/envisioning/technology/2012) 2012-02-10 128 87 42% of 85 complete [2011](/hindsight/envisioning/technology/2011) 2011-08 101 23 57% of 23 complete - hit - partial - miss Hit rate per publication: hits over hit, partial and miss. Below 20 graded claims, counts only ([D11](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d11-validation-thresholds)). Rates per publication carry no audit adjustment; the series rate on the publisher page does ([D28](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d28-the-audit-error-rate-widens-every-published-interval-d11-issue-61)). ## 2011: by target year - 2015 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 1, counts only - 2025 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2015 1 0 0 1 of 1, counts only 2025 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only ## 2012: by target year - 2012 Hit 5 Partial 3 Miss 1 Hit rate 5 of 9, counts only - 2013 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2014 Hit 3 Partial 2 Miss 2 Hit rate 3 of 7, counts only - 2015 Hit 3 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 3 of 5, counts only - 2016 Hit 3 Partial 1 Miss 3 Hit rate 3 of 7, counts only - 2017 Hit 3 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 3 of 4, counts only - 2018 Hit 4 Partial 0 Miss 3 Hit rate 4 of 7, counts only - 2019 Hit 3 Partial 2 Miss 4 Hit rate 3 of 9, counts only - 2020 Hit 4 Partial 1 Miss 8 Hit rate 4 of 13, counts only - 2021 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 3 Hit rate 1 of 4, counts only - 2022 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 2 of 3, counts only - 2023 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 2 of 3, counts only - 2024 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 3, counts only - 2025 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2026 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 5 Hit rate 2 of 7, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2012 5 3 1 5 of 9, counts only 2013 1 1 0 1 of 2, counts only 2014 3 2 2 3 of 7, counts only 2015 3 1 1 3 of 5, counts only 2016 3 1 3 3 of 7, counts only 2017 3 0 1 3 of 4, counts only 2018 4 0 3 4 of 7, counts only 2019 3 2 4 3 of 9, counts only 2020 4 1 8 4 of 13, counts only 2021 1 0 3 1 of 4, counts only 2022 2 0 1 2 of 3, counts only 2023 2 0 1 2 of 3, counts only 2024 0 1 2 0 of 3, counts only 2025 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2026 2 0 5 2 of 7, counts only ## Revisions between publications - renamed Before PGS 2011 to 2015 After Rapid personal gene sequencing 2012 - renamed Before 3D printing 2011 to 2015 After Additive manufacturing 2012 - dropped Before Print on demand 2011 to 2015 After - dropped Before Memristor 2011 to 2015 After - dropped Before Cermets 2011 to 2015 After - renamed, delayed Before Private spaceflight 2011 to 2015 After Commercial spaceflight 2016 - delayed Before Bio-enhanced fuels 2011 to 2015 After Bio-enhanced fuels 2017 - dropped Before Ultra-capacitors 2011 to 2015 After - delayed Before Fuel cells 2011 to 2015 After Fuel cells 2016 - renamed, delayed Before Smart meters 2011 to 2015 After Smart power meters 2018 - delayed Before Procedural storytelling 2011 to 2015 After Procedural storytelling 2020 - dropped Before Gamification of media 2011 to 2015 After - dropped Before All media on demand 2011 to 2015 After - delayed Before Haptics 2011 to 2015 After Haptics 2019 - delayed Before Holography After Holography 2021 - renamed, delayed Before AR 2011 to 2015 After Augmented reality 2017 - renamed Before 3D 2011 to 2015 After Volumetric (3D) screens 2014 - renamed Before Tabs & Pads 2011 to 2015 After Tablets 2012 - delayed Before Boards 2011 to 2015 After Boards 2017 - dropped Before Electronic paper After - renamed Before Pervasive video 2011 to 2015 After Pervasive video capture 2015 - delayed Before 4G 2011 to 2015 After 4G 2016 - dropped Before PAN 2011 to 2015 After - dropped Before Social graph 2011 to 2015 After - renamed Before NFC 2011 to 2015 After Near-field communication 2014 - dropped Before Semantic web 2011 to 2015 After - dropped Before Linked data 2011 to 2015 After - delayed Before Bio-markers 2011 to 2015 After Biomarkers 2019 - renamed, delayed Before Vertical agriculture 2015 to 2025 After Vertical farming 2026 - delayed Before Bio-materials 2015 to 2025 After Biomaterials 2026 - advanced Before Self-healing materials 2015 to 2025 After Self-healing materials 2014 - dropped Before Medical diagnostics 2015 to 2025 After - advanced Before Software agents 2015 to 2025 After Software agents 2014 - dropped Before VASIMR After - dropped Before Superconducting interties 2015 to 2025 After - dropped Before Nanostructure battery cathodes 2015 to 2025 After - delayed Before Biomechanical harvesting 2015 to 2025 After Biomechanical harvesting 2026 - dropped Before PV at grid parity 2015 to 2025 After - dropped Before Solar thermal 2015 to 2025 After - dropped Before Location-aware media 2015 to 2025 After - dropped Before Immersive 3D projections 2015 to 2025 After - advanced Before Fabric-embedded screens After Fabric-embedded screens 2023 - dropped Before SPIMES 2015 to 2025 After - dropped Before Virtual property 2015 to 2025 After - dropped Before Sensors 2015 to 2025 After - renamed, advanced Before Exoskeletons After Powered exoskeleton 2020 - dropped Before Tele-medicine 2015 to 2025 After - delayed Before Stem-cell treatments 2015 to 2025 After Stem-cell treatments 2026 - dropped Before Regenerative medicine After - renamed Before Artificial limbs 2025 to After Hybrid assisted limbs 2032 - dropped Before Wetware (biofeedback) 2025 to After - renamed Before Reversal of aging 2025 to After Anti-aging drugs 2038 - renamed, advanced Before Synthetic meat 2025 to After In-vitro meat 2022 - renamed Before Intelligence Amplification 2025 to After Machine-augmented cognition 2037 - advanced Before Machine translation 2025 to After Machine translation 2019 - dropped Before Tethers 2025 to After - dropped Before Smart clothing 2025 to After - dropped Before Smart infrastructure 2025 to After - dropped Before HAPs 2025 to After - dropped Before Smart cities 2025 to After - renamed, advanced Before UAVs 2025 to After Commercial UAVs 2022 - added Before After Depth imaging 2012 - added Before After Tidal turbines 2015 - added Before After Flexible screens 2016 - added Before After Telematics 2016 - added Before After Organ printing 2016 - added Before After Mesh networking 2017 - added Before After Biometric sensors 2017 - added Before After Graphene 2017 - added Before After Photonics 2018 - added Before After 4K 2018 - added Before After Modular computers 2018 - added Before After Robotic surgery 2018 - added Before After Synthetic blood 2018 - added Before After Personal fabricators 2018 - added Before After Smart drugs 2019 - added Before After Eyewear-embedded screens 2020 - added Before After Context-aware computing 2021 - added Before After Optical invisibility cloaks 2021 - added Before After Weather engineering 2021 - added Before After Reputation economy 2022 - added Before After Computational photography 2023 - added Before After Synthetic biology 2024 - added Before After VR-only lifeforms 2025 - added Before After Reprogrammable chips 2026 - added Before After Sea-steading 2029 - added Before After Gene therapy 2030 - added Before After Immersive virtual reality 2031 - added Before After Enernet 2032 - added Before After Desalination 2032 - added Before After Remote presence 2033 - added Before After Artificial retinas 2034 - added Before After Mars mission 2034 - added Before After Carbon sequestration 2034 - added Before After Neuro-informatics 2035 - added Before After Embodied avatars 2035 - added Before After Exocortex 2036 - added Before After Nanomedicine 2036 - added Before After Climate engineering 2036 - added Before After Space-based solar power 2039 - added Before After Solar sail 2039 - added Before After Arcologies 2039 Change Before After renamed PGS 2011 to 2015 Rapid personal gene sequencing 2012 renamed 3D printing 2011 to 2015 Additive manufacturing 2012 dropped Print on demand 2011 to 2015 dropped Memristor 2011 to 2015 dropped Cermets 2011 to 2015 renamed, delayed Private spaceflight 2011 to 2015 Commercial spaceflight 2016 delayed Bio-enhanced fuels 2011 to 2015 Bio-enhanced fuels 2017 dropped Ultra-capacitors 2011 to 2015 delayed Fuel cells 2011 to 2015 Fuel cells 2016 renamed, delayed Smart meters 2011 to 2015 Smart power meters 2018 delayed Procedural storytelling 2011 to 2015 Procedural storytelling 2020 dropped Gamification of media 2011 to 2015 dropped All media on demand 2011 to 2015 delayed Haptics 2011 to 2015 Haptics 2019 delayed Holography Holography 2021 renamed, delayed AR 2011 to 2015 Augmented reality 2017 renamed 3D 2011 to 2015 Volumetric (3D) screens 2014 renamed Tabs & Pads 2011 to 2015 Tablets 2012 delayed Boards 2011 to 2015 Boards 2017 dropped Electronic paper renamed Pervasive video 2011 to 2015 Pervasive video capture 2015 delayed 4G 2011 to 2015 4G 2016 dropped PAN 2011 to 2015 dropped Social graph 2011 to 2015 renamed NFC 2011 to 2015 Near-field communication 2014 dropped Semantic web 2011 to 2015 dropped Linked data 2011 to 2015 delayed Bio-markers 2011 to 2015 Biomarkers 2019 renamed, delayed Vertical agriculture 2015 to 2025 Vertical farming 2026 delayed Bio-materials 2015 to 2025 Biomaterials 2026 advanced Self-healing materials 2015 to 2025 Self-healing materials 2014 dropped Medical diagnostics 2015 to 2025 advanced Software agents 2015 to 2025 Software agents 2014 dropped VASIMR dropped Superconducting interties 2015 to 2025 dropped Nanostructure battery cathodes 2015 to 2025 delayed Biomechanical harvesting 2015 to 2025 Biomechanical harvesting 2026 dropped PV at grid parity 2015 to 2025 dropped Solar thermal 2015 to 2025 dropped Location-aware media 2015 to 2025 dropped Immersive 3D projections 2015 to 2025 advanced Fabric-embedded screens Fabric-embedded screens 2023 dropped SPIMES 2015 to 2025 dropped Virtual property 2015 to 2025 dropped Sensors 2015 to 2025 renamed, advanced Exoskeletons Powered exoskeleton 2020 dropped Tele-medicine 2015 to 2025 delayed Stem-cell treatments 2015 to 2025 Stem-cell treatments 2026 dropped Regenerative medicine renamed Artificial limbs 2025 to Hybrid assisted limbs 2032 dropped Wetware (biofeedback) 2025 to renamed Reversal of aging 2025 to Anti-aging drugs 2038 renamed, advanced Synthetic meat 2025 to In-vitro meat 2022 renamed Intelligence Amplification 2025 to Machine-augmented cognition 2037 advanced Machine translation 2025 to Machine translation 2019 dropped Tethers 2025 to dropped Smart clothing 2025 to dropped Smart infrastructure 2025 to dropped HAPs 2025 to dropped Smart cities 2025 to renamed, advanced UAVs 2025 to Commercial UAVs 2022 added Depth imaging 2012 added Tidal turbines 2015 added Flexible screens 2016 added Telematics 2016 added Organ printing 2016 added Mesh networking 2017 added Biometric sensors 2017 added Graphene 2017 added Photonics 2018 added 4K 2018 added Modular computers 2018 added Robotic surgery 2018 added Synthetic blood 2018 added Personal fabricators 2018 added Smart drugs 2019 added Eyewear-embedded screens 2020 added Context-aware computing 2021 added Optical invisibility cloaks 2021 added Weather engineering 2021 added Reputation economy 2022 added Computational photography 2023 added Synthetic biology 2024 added VR-only lifeforms 2025 added Reprogrammable chips 2026 added Sea-steading 2029 added Gene therapy 2030 added Immersive virtual reality 2031 added Enernet 2032 added Desalination 2032 added Remote presence 2033 added Artificial retinas 2034 added Mars mission 2034 added Carbon sequestration 2034 added Neuro-informatics 2035 added Embodied avatars 2035 added Exocortex 2036 added Nanomedicine 2036 added Climate engineering 2036 added Space-based solar power 2039 added Solar sail 2039 added Arcologies 2039 --- Data, code and grading rules are public at [github.com/envisioning/hindsight](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight). Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in [the decision log](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md). Think a verdict is wrong? [Open a dispute](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/issues/new?template=dispute-verdict.yml). ---