Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated
Edition covers '2015 and beyond'. Gartner's stated count: 10 (report title 'Top 10 Strategic Predictions'; press release numbers 1 to 10, each with a near-term flag). Found in public source: 10 top predictions plus 10 near-term flags. Client report: "Top 10 Strategic Predictions for 2015 and Beyond: Digital Business Is Driving 'Big Change'" (paywalled). gartner.com returns 403 to scripted fetches; text read from the Internet Archive snapshot listed in sources. Quotes are the prediction headline sentences as printed in the press release; body text is not stored.
Through 2015, the most highly valued initial public offerings (IPOs) will involve companies that combine digital markets with physical logistics to challenge pure physical legacy business ecosystems.
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By 2015, there will be more than 40 vendors with commercially available managed services offerings leveraging smart machines and industrialized services.
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By year-end 2015, mobile digital assistants will have taken on tactical mundane processes such as filling out names, addresses and credit card information.
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A renewed interest in mobile payment will arise in 2015, together with a significant increase in mobile commerce (due in part to the introduction of Apple Pay and similar efforts by competitors, such as Google increasing efforts to drive adoption of its NFC-enabled Google Wallet).
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By the end of 2015, five percent of global organizations will design "supermaneuverable" processes that provide competitive advantage.
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By 2015, more than half of traditional consumer products will have native digital extensions.
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By 2015, more than 90 percent of durable goods e-tailers will actively seek external partnerships to support the new "personalized" product business models.
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By year-end 2016, 50 percent of digital transformation initiatives will be unmanageable due to lack of portfolio management skills, leading to a measurable negative lost market share.
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By year-end 2016, more than $2 billion in online shopping will be performed exclusively by mobile digital assistants.
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By 2016, there will be an increase in the number of offers from retailers focused on customer location and the length of time in store.
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By 2017, a significant disruptive digital business will be launched that was conceived by a computer algorithm.
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By 2017, costs for diabetic care are reduced by 10 percent through the use of smartphones.
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By 2017, U.S. customers' mobile engagement behavior will drive mobile commerce revenue in the U.S. to 50 percent of U.S. digital commerce revenue.
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By 2017, 70 percent of successful digital business models will rely on deliberately unstable processes designed to shift as customer needs shift.
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By 2017, 50 percent of consumer product investments will be redirected to customer experience innovations.
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By 2017, nearly 20 percent of durable goods e-tailers will use 3D printing (3DP) to create personalized product offerings.
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By 2018, digital business will require 50 percent less business process workers and 500 percent more key digital business jobs, compared with traditional models.
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By 2018, the total cost of ownership for business operations will be reduced by 30 percent through smart machines and industrialized services.
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By 2020, developed world life expectancy will increase by 0.5 years due to widespread adoption of wireless health monitoring technology.
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By 2020, retail businesses that utilize targeted messaging in combination with internal positioning systems (IPS) will see a five percent increase in sales.
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