Top Risks, 2018

Until last year, China had avoided talk of global leadership, but now China is setting international standards with less resistance than ever before.

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It's impossible to ignore the risk of a major crisis today, because there are too many places where a misstep or misjudgment could provoke serious international conflict.

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The latest wave of innovation takes place at a time of broader tensions within the internet and technology spaces that will play an important role in 2018.

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This year will be a defining moment for Mexico's longer-term outlook, which will depend on the outcome of NAFTA renegotiation and the country's 1 July presidential election.

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If the nuclear agreement fails, the world will enter a new and dangerous dynamic.

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Across the developed world, popular trust in technocratic/bureaucratic institutions has declined steeply, in some instances as a result of direct political interference in their work.

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Antiestablishment movements have forced policymakers to shift toward a more mercantilist approach to global economic competition. Walls are going up.

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The United Kingdom's troubles will come from both acrimonious Brexit negotiations and difficult domestic politics.

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Southern Asia identity politics threatens the future of these increasingly prosperous regions, creating unexpected challenges for economic planners and foreign investors.

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Negative spillover from Africa's unstable periphery will increasingly spoil the continent's success stories.

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For 2018, the Trump White House promises a year of blazing one-day headlines, but almost nothing that moves the needle on policy.

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Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro heads into 2018 in a relatively comfortable position.

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