Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated
Landing page lists labels; headline quotes for risks 3-10 are from the PDF section headlines (spacing repaired from PDF text extraction). The PDF also prints under 'US elections' that Eurasia Group did not think Trump could be the Republican nominee or beat Clinton.
The trans-Atlantic partnership has been the world's most important alliance for nearly 70 years, but it's now weaker, and less relevant, than at any point in decades.
rank 1eurasia-top-risks-2016-001
Divisions in Europe will reach a critical point, and a combination of inequality, refugees, terrorism, and grassroots political pressures pose an unprecedented challenge to the European Union.
rank 2eurasia-top-risks-2016-002
Beijing is moving from free-rider and rule-taker to ever more influential rule-maker
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The threat from ISIS—as well as Al Qaeda, Boko Haram, and others—will increase
rank 4eurasia-top-risks-2016-004
Saudi Arabia is more geopolitically isolated than at any other point in the last several decades
rank 5eurasia-top-risks-2016-005
As technologists grow more politically active, their influence will undermine government policies
rank 6eurasia-top-risks-2016-006
An unusually wide constellation of leaders known for erratic behavior will make international politics exceptionally volatile this year.
rank 7eurasia-top-risks-2016-007
To ensure the support she needs in congress to stave off an impeachment, Rousseff will have to make concessions to her leftist base
rank 8eurasia-top-risks-2016-008
There is an increased likelihood of street protests in Brazil, South Africa, and other emerging markets
rank 9eurasia-top-risks-2016-009
The government's focus on currying favor with voters through economic populism will undermine attempts to address the country's structural economic vulnerabilities
rank 10eurasia-top-risks-2016-010
US voters aren't going to elect a president who will close the country to Muslims.
rank 1eurasia-top-risks-2016-011
China's economy isn't headed for a hard landing, and its politics will remain stable.
rank 2eurasia-top-risks-2016-012
rank 3eurasia-top-risks-2016-013