Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated
Captured from the archived Eurasia Group page (web.archive.org). No PDF read.
Europe's economics are in substantially better shape than at the height of the Eurozone crisis. But the politics is now much worse.
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Last year, we highlighted Russia as one of the top risks to global security--that was before Moscow carried out the most brazen redrawing of European borders since World War II, and then fell into a severe currency crisis.
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We're quite optimistic about China this coming year.
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The United States remains the world's only superpower, but Washington is now using its influence in important new ways.
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In 2015, ISIS faces setbacks in its core bases in Iraq and Syria, but its military power remains significant, and its ideological reach will spread throughout the Middle East and North Africa.
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Political risk stemming from weak incumbents who recently won reelection will weigh on key markets in 2015.
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In 2015, success and failure for business will depend increasingly on governments.
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Saudi-Iran tensions will spike during 2015, worsening the Sunni-Shia sectarian rift across the region.
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Relations between China and Taiwan will deteriorate sharply in 2015 following the opposition Democratic Progressive Party's (DPP's) landslide victory over the ruling nationalist party in November's local elections.
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For the second year in a row, Turkey makes our list. Lower oil prices have been good news for this country, but that's about all that's going well.
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But the Islamic state that the group would create will not prove viable in 2015
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