Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated
The 2007 list has seven risks ('Top 7 Political Risks for 2007'), outlined by Ian Bremmer on 2 January 2007. Quotes for the seven risks are from the archived publications page summaries. The PDF adds four long-term risks and six red herrings. The web page names the first long-term risk 'Pandemic influenza'; the PDF heading is 'Avian influenza'.
This year could be the most politically unstable year in the middle east in the past two decades, and Iran is at the center of this instability.
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The 2007 presidential elections will be a serious challenge to Nigeria's democratic system.
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Quite obviously both Iraq and US policy in Iraq are in bad shape.
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Turkey faces two elections this year that will highlight existing divisions and which will test the country's stability.
Risks related to Russia have increased both because of Moscows new found petro-confidence and maneuvering related to the upcoming succession.
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China: The CCP Congress, slated for the fall of 2007, will be a key moment.
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Pakistan's president Pervez Musharraf is headed for a perfect political storm that could leave him weakened, if not force him from office.
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Massive infusions of international aid will start to make a meaningful difference in some of the most underdeveloped states in the continent.
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