# Envisioning Emerging Technologies (Policy Horizons Canada) · Hindsight | Envisioning

Source: https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/envisioning/emerging-technologies

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1.  [Hindsight](/hindsight)
2.  ›[Envisioning](/hindsight/envisioning)
3.  ›Envisioning Emerging Technologies (Policy Horizons Canada)

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# Envisioning Emerging Technologies (Policy Horizons Canada)

Study posters · 1 publications

Validated: two blind graders, an adjudicator on every disagreement, and an agent audit of a fixed sample ([D20](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d20-agents-do-all-grading-adjudication-and-audit-amends-d7-d11)).

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[Publishers](/hindsight)[Forecast vs actual](/hindsight/forecasts)[Side by side](/hindsight/comparisons)
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[Publications](/hindsight/envisioning/emerging-technologies)[Audit](/hindsight/envisioning/emerging-technologies/audit)

-   [2014](/hindsight/envisioning/emerging-technologies/2014)
    
    Published
    
    2014-04
    
    Predictions
    
    88
    
    Graded
    
    55
    
    Hit rate
    
    75% of 55
    
    Status
    
    complete
    

Publication

Published

Predictions

Graded

Hit rate

Status

[2014](/hindsight/envisioning/emerging-technologies/2014)

2014-04

88

55

75% of 55

complete

-   hit
-   partial
-   miss

Hit rate per publication: hits over hit, partial and miss. Below 20 graded claims, counts only ([D11](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d11-validation-thresholds)). Rates per publication carry no audit adjustment; the series rate on the publisher page does ([D28](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d28-the-audit-error-rate-widens-every-published-interval-d11-issue-61)).

## 2014: by target year

-   2015
    
    Hit
    
    3
    
    Partial
    
    0
    
    Miss
    
    0
    
    Hit rate
    
    3 of 3, counts only
    
-   2016
    
    Hit
    
    3
    
    Partial
    
    0
    
    Miss
    
    0
    
    Hit rate
    
    3 of 3, counts only
    
-   2017
    
    Hit
    
    7
    
    Partial
    
    0
    
    Miss
    
    1
    
    Hit rate
    
    7 of 8, counts only
    
-   2018
    
    Hit
    
    2
    
    Partial
    
    1
    
    Miss
    
    0
    
    Hit rate
    
    2 of 3, counts only
    
-   2019
    
    Hit
    
    3
    
    Partial
    
    2
    
    Miss
    
    0
    
    Hit rate
    
    3 of 5, counts only
    
-   2020
    
    Hit
    
    5
    
    Partial
    
    0
    
    Miss
    
    1
    
    Hit rate
    
    5 of 6, counts only
    
-   2021
    
    Hit
    
    5
    
    Partial
    
    0
    
    Miss
    
    0
    
    Hit rate
    
    5 of 5, counts only
    
-   2022
    
    Hit
    
    9
    
    Partial
    
    3
    
    Miss
    
    4
    
    Hit rate
    
    9 of 16, counts only
    
-   2023
    
    Hit
    
    3
    
    Partial
    
    0
    
    Miss
    
    0
    
    Hit rate
    
    3 of 3, counts only
    
-   2024
    
    Hit
    
    1
    
    Partial
    
    0
    
    Miss
    
    2
    
    Hit rate
    
    1 of 3, counts only
    

Target year

Hit

Partial

Miss

Hit rate

2015

3

0

0

3 of 3, counts only

2016

3

0

0

3 of 3, counts only

2017

7

0

1

7 of 8, counts only

2018

2

1

0

2 of 3, counts only

2019

3

2

0

3 of 5, counts only

2020

5

0

1

5 of 6, counts only

2021

5

0

0

5 of 5, counts only

2022

9

3

4

9 of 16, counts only

2023

3

0

0

3 of 3, counts only

2024

1

0

2

1 of 3, counts only

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Data, code and grading rules are public at [github.com/envisioning/hindsight](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight). Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in [the decision log](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md). Think a verdict is wrong? [Open a dispute](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/issues/new?template=dispute-verdict.yml).
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