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UNRATEMD, vintage 2026-03-18 · Hindsight | Envisioning

Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

UNRATEMD, vintage 2026-03-18

US Federal Reserve, Summary of Economic Projections, 2026-03, published 2026-03-18

Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual

unemployment rate in 2026: 4.4 %

Source

Verdict

Not graded yet.

The same forecast in other editions

2026-034.4 %
2026-034.3 %
2026-034.2 %

All captured fields

variable: unemployment rate
metric: unemployment rate
statistic: median
target year: 2026
horizon: current_year
value: 4.4
unit: %
definition: Average civilian unemployment rate in the fourth quarter of the year indicated
confidence: high

Permalink

https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/fed-sep-2026-03-005

Cite

Hindsight, claim fed-sep-2026-03-005. Envisioning. https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/fed-sep-2026-03-005

Dispute this verdict

Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight. Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log. Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute.