# Summary of Economic Projections · Hindsight | Envisioning Source: https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections --- --- 1. [Hindsight](/hindsight) 2. ›[US Federal Reserve](/hindsight/federal-reserve) 3. ›Summary of Economic Projections --- # Summary of Economic Projections Numeric forecasts · 76 publications Validated: graded by rule against the published actuals, with an agent audit of the matching ([D19](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d19-numeric-forecasts-are-graded-by-a-deterministic-command)). --- [Publishers](/hindsight)[Forecast vs actual](/hindsight/forecasts)[Side by side](/hindsight/comparisons) --- ## Hit rate by year of publication 0%50%100%all years 51%2008: 25% hits, 13 of 52 (95% interval 15% to 38%)2009: 56% hits, 29 of 52 (95% interval 42% to 68%)2010: 62% hits, 32 of 52 (95% interval 48% to 74%)2011: 60% hits, 31 of 52 (95% interval 46% to 72%)2012: 52% hits, 44 of 85 (95% interval 41% to 62%)2013: 50% hits, 35 of 70 (95% interval 39% to 61%)2014: 49% hits, 34 of 70 (95% interval 37% to 60%)2015: 71% hits, 50 of 70 (95% interval 60% to 81%)2016: 74% hits, 52 of 70 (95% interval 63% to 83%)2017: 60% hits, 42 of 70 (95% interval 48% to 71%)2018: 34% hits, 24 of 70 (95% interval 24% to 46%)2019: 31% hits, 22 of 70 (95% interval 22% to 43%)2020: 27% hits, 15 of 55 (95% interval 17% to 40%)2021: 30% hits, 21 of 70 (95% interval 21% to 42%)2022: 44% hits, 30 of 68 (95% interval 33% to 56%)2023: 68% hits, 38 of 56 (95% interval 55% to 79%)2024: 78% hits, 28 of 36 (95% interval 62% to 88%)graded2007: 16 graded, fewer than 20: no rate (D11)2008: 52 graded2009: 52 graded2010: 52 graded2011: 52 graded2012: 85 graded2013: 70 graded2014: 70 graded2015: 70 graded2016: 70 graded2017: 70 graded2018: 70 graded2019: 70 graded2020: 55 graded2021: 70 graded2022: 68 graded2023: 56 graded2024: 36 graded2025: 16 graded, fewer than 20: no rate (D11)2007200920112013201520172019202120232025 Each dot is one year’s hit rate with its 95% interval, shown only for years with at least 20 graded claims ([D11](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d11-validation-thresholds)). The bars below count the graded claims per year; faint bars are years too thin for a rate. Per-year rates carry no audit adjustment. Hover for the numbers. - [2026-09](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2026-09) Published 2026-09-16 Predictions 24 Status complete - [2026-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2026-06) Published 2026-06-17 Predictions 19 Status complete - [2026-03](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2026-03) Published 2026-03-18 Predictions 19 Status complete - [2025-12](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2025-12) Published 2025-12-10 Predictions 24 Graded 4 Hit rate 4 of 4, counts only Status complete - [2025-09](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2025-09) Published 2025-09-17 Predictions 24 Graded 4 Hit rate 4 of 4, counts only Status complete - [2025-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2025-06) Published 2025-06-18 Predictions 19 Graded 4 Hit rate 3 of 4, counts only Status complete - [2025-03](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2025-03) Published 2025-03-19 Predictions 19 Graded 4 Hit rate 4 of 4, counts only Status complete - [2024-12](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2024-12) Published 2024-12-18 Predictions 24 Graded 9 Hit rate 9 of 9, counts only Status complete - [2024-09](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2024-09) Published 2024-09-18 Predictions 24 Graded 9 Hit rate 6 of 9, counts only Status complete - [2024-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2024-06) Published 2024-06-12 Predictions 19 Graded 9 Hit rate 7 of 9, counts only Status complete - [2024-03](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2024-03) Published 2024-03-20 Predictions 19 Graded 9 Hit rate 6 of 9, counts only Status complete - [2023-12](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2023-12) Published 2023-12-13 Predictions 24 Graded 14 Hit rate 10 of 14, counts only Status complete - [2023-09](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2023-09) Published 2023-09-20 Predictions 24 Graded 14 Hit rate 10 of 14, counts only Status complete - [2023-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2023-06) Published 2023-06-14 Predictions 19 Graded 14 Hit rate 10 of 14, counts only Status complete - [2023-03](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2023-03) Published 2023-03-22 Predictions 19 Graded 14 Hit rate 8 of 14, counts only Status complete - [2022-12](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2022-12) Published 2022-12-14 Predictions 24 Graded 19 Hit rate 12 of 19, counts only Status complete - [2022-09](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2022-09) Published 2022-09-21 Predictions 24 Graded 19 Hit rate 8 of 19, counts only Status complete - [2022-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2022-06) Published 2022-06-15 Predictions 19 Graded 15 Hit rate 6 of 15, counts only Status complete - [2022-03](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2022-03) Published 2022-03-16 Predictions 19 Graded 15 Hit rate 4 of 15, counts only Status complete - [2021-12](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2021-12) Published 2021-12-15 Predictions 24 Graded 20 Hit rate 40% of 20 Status complete - [2021-09](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2021-09) Published 2021-09-22 Predictions 24 Graded 20 Hit rate 25% of 20 Status complete - [2021-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2021-06) Published 2021-06-16 Predictions 19 Graded 15 Hit rate 4 of 15, counts only Status complete - [2021-03](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2021-03) Published 2021-03-17 Predictions 19 Graded 15 Hit rate 4 of 15, counts only Status complete - [2020-12](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2020-12) Published 2020-12-16 Predictions 24 Graded 20 Hit rate 30% of 20 Status complete - [2020-09](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2020-09) Published 2020-09-16 Predictions 24 Graded 20 Hit rate 25% of 20 Status complete - [2020-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2020-06) Published 2020-06-10 Predictions 19 Graded 15 Hit rate 4 of 15, counts only Status complete - [2019-12](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2019-12) Published 2019-12-11 Predictions 24 Graded 20 Hit rate 30% of 20 Status complete - [2019-09](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2019-09) Published 2019-09-18 Predictions 24 Graded 20 Hit rate 35% of 20 Status complete - [2019-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2019-06) Published 2019-06-19 Predictions 19 Graded 15 Hit rate 5 of 15, counts only Status complete - [2019-03](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2019-03) Published 2019-03-20 Predictions 19 Graded 15 Hit rate 4 of 15, counts only Status complete - [2018-12](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2018-12) Published 2018-12-19 Predictions 24 Graded 20 Hit rate 40% of 20 Status complete - [2018-09](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2018-09) Published 2018-09-26 Predictions 24 Graded 20 Hit rate 30% of 20 Status complete - [2018-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2018-06) Published 2018-06-13 Predictions 19 Graded 15 Hit rate 5 of 15, counts only Status complete - [2018-03](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2018-03) Published 2018-03-21 Predictions 19 Graded 15 Hit rate 5 of 15, counts only Status complete - [2017-12](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2017-12) Published 2017-12-13 Predictions 24 Graded 20 Hit rate 60% of 20 Status complete - [2017-09](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2017-09) Published 2017-09-20 Predictions 24 Graded 20 Hit rate 55% of 20 Status complete - [2017-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2017-06) Published 2017-06-14 Predictions 19 Graded 15 Hit rate 10 of 15, counts only Status complete - [2017-03](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2017-03) Published 2017-03-15 Predictions 19 Graded 15 Hit rate 9 of 15, counts only Status complete - [2016-12](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2016-12) Published 2016-12-14 Predictions 24 Graded 20 Hit rate 70% of 20 Status complete - [2016-09](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2016-09) Published 2016-09-21 Predictions 24 Graded 20 Hit rate 70% of 20 Status complete - [2016-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2016-06) Published 2016-06-15 Predictions 19 Graded 15 Hit rate 13 of 15, counts only Status complete - [2016-03](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2016-03) Published 2016-03-16 Predictions 19 Graded 15 Hit rate 11 of 15, counts only Status complete - [2015-12](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2015-12) Published 2015-12-16 Predictions 24 Graded 20 Hit rate 70% of 20 Status complete - [2015-09](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2015-09) Published 2015-09-17 Predictions 24 Graded 20 Hit rate 70% of 20 Status complete - [2015-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2015-06) Published 2015-06-17 Predictions 34 Graded 15 Hit rate 11 of 15, counts only Status complete - [2015-03](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2015-03) Published 2015-03-18 Predictions 38 Graded 15 Hit rate 11 of 15, counts only Status complete - [2014-12](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2014-12) Published 2014-12-17 Predictions 48 Graded 20 Hit rate 60% of 20 Status complete - [2014-09](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2014-09) Published 2014-09-17 Predictions 48 Graded 20 Hit rate 45% of 20 Status complete - [2014-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2014-06) Published 2014-06-18 Predictions 38 Graded 15 Hit rate 6 of 15, counts only Status complete - [2014-03](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2014-03) Published 2014-03-19 Predictions 38 Graded 15 Hit rate 7 of 15, counts only Status complete - [2013-12](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2013-12) Published 2013-12-18 Predictions 48 Graded 20 Hit rate 55% of 20 Status complete - [2013-09](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2013-09) Published 2013-09-18 Predictions 48 Graded 20 Hit rate 50% of 20 Status complete - [2013-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2013-06) Published 2013-06-19 Predictions 38 Graded 15 Hit rate 6 of 15, counts only Status complete - [2013-03](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2013-03) Published 2013-03-20 Predictions 38 Graded 15 Hit rate 8 of 15, counts only Status complete - [2012-12](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2012-12) Published 2012-12-12 Predictions 48 Graded 20 Hit rate 55% of 20 Status complete - [2012-09](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2012-09) Published 2012-09-13 Predictions 48 Graded 20 Hit rate 50% of 20 Status complete - [2012-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2012-06) Published 2012-06-20 Predictions 38 Graded 15 Hit rate 8 of 15, counts only Status complete - [2012-04](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2012-04) Published 2012-04-25 Predictions 38 Graded 15 Hit rate 8 of 15, counts only Status complete - [2012-01](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2012-01) Published 2012-01-25 Predictions 38 Graded 15 Hit rate 7 of 15, counts only Status complete - [2011-11](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2011-11) Published 2011-11-02 Predictions 38 Graded 16 Hit rate 9 of 16, counts only Status complete - [2011-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2011-06) Published 2011-06-22 Predictions 30 Graded 12 Hit rate 8 of 12, counts only Status complete - [2011-04](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2011-04) Published 2011-04-27 Predictions 30 Graded 12 Hit rate 8 of 12, counts only Status complete - [2011-01](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2011-01) Published 2011-02-16 Predictions 30 Graded 12 Hit rate 6 of 12, counts only Status complete - [2010-11](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2010-11) Published 2010-11-23 Predictions 38 Graded 16 Hit rate 11 of 16, counts only Status complete - [2010-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2010-06) Published 2010-07-14 Predictions 30 Graded 12 Hit rate 7 of 12, counts only Status complete - [2010-04](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2010-04) Published 2010-05-19 Predictions 30 Graded 12 Hit rate 6 of 12, counts only Status complete - [2010-01](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2010-01) Published 2010-02-17 Predictions 30 Graded 12 Hit rate 8 of 12, counts only Status complete - [2009-11](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2009-11) Published 2009-11-24 Predictions 38 Graded 16 Hit rate 11 of 16, counts only Status complete - [2009-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2009-06) Published 2009-07-15 Predictions 30 Graded 12 Hit rate 8 of 12, counts only Status complete - [2009-04](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2009-04) Published 2009-05-20 Predictions 30 Graded 12 Hit rate 6 of 12, counts only Status complete - [2009-01](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2009-01) Published 2009-02-18 Predictions 27 Graded 12 Hit rate 4 of 12, counts only Status complete - [2008-10](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2008-10) Published 2008-11-19 Predictions 32 Graded 16 Hit rate 8 of 16, counts only Status complete - [2008-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2008-06) Published 2008-07-16 Predictions 24 Graded 12 Hit rate 1 of 12, counts only Status complete - [2008-04](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2008-04) Published 2008-05-21 Predictions 24 Graded 12 Hit rate 1 of 12, counts only Status complete - [2008-01](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2008-01) Published 2008-02-20 Predictions 24 Graded 12 Hit rate 3 of 12, counts only Status complete - [2007-10](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2007-10) Published 2007-11-20 Predictions 32 Graded 16 Hit rate 8 of 16, counts only Status complete Publication Published Predictions Graded Hit rate Status [2026-09](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2026-09) 2026-09-16 24 complete [2026-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2026-06) 2026-06-17 19 complete [2026-03](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2026-03) 2026-03-18 19 complete [2025-12](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2025-12) 2025-12-10 24 4 4 of 4, counts only complete [2025-09](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2025-09) 2025-09-17 24 4 4 of 4, counts only complete [2025-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2025-06) 2025-06-18 19 4 3 of 4, counts only complete [2025-03](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2025-03) 2025-03-19 19 4 4 of 4, counts only complete [2024-12](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2024-12) 2024-12-18 24 9 9 of 9, counts only complete [2024-09](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2024-09) 2024-09-18 24 9 6 of 9, counts only complete [2024-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2024-06) 2024-06-12 19 9 7 of 9, counts only complete [2024-03](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2024-03) 2024-03-20 19 9 6 of 9, counts only complete [2023-12](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2023-12) 2023-12-13 24 14 10 of 14, counts only complete [2023-09](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2023-09) 2023-09-20 24 14 10 of 14, counts only complete [2023-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2023-06) 2023-06-14 19 14 10 of 14, counts only complete [2023-03](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2023-03) 2023-03-22 19 14 8 of 14, counts only complete [2022-12](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2022-12) 2022-12-14 24 19 12 of 19, counts only complete [2022-09](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2022-09) 2022-09-21 24 19 8 of 19, counts only complete [2022-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2022-06) 2022-06-15 19 15 6 of 15, counts only complete [2022-03](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2022-03) 2022-03-16 19 15 4 of 15, counts only complete [2021-12](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2021-12) 2021-12-15 24 20 40% of 20 complete [2021-09](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2021-09) 2021-09-22 24 20 25% of 20 complete [2021-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2021-06) 2021-06-16 19 15 4 of 15, counts only complete [2021-03](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2021-03) 2021-03-17 19 15 4 of 15, counts only complete [2020-12](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2020-12) 2020-12-16 24 20 30% of 20 complete [2020-09](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2020-09) 2020-09-16 24 20 25% of 20 complete [2020-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2020-06) 2020-06-10 19 15 4 of 15, counts only complete [2019-12](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2019-12) 2019-12-11 24 20 30% of 20 complete [2019-09](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2019-09) 2019-09-18 24 20 35% of 20 complete [2019-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2019-06) 2019-06-19 19 15 5 of 15, counts only complete [2019-03](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2019-03) 2019-03-20 19 15 4 of 15, counts only complete [2018-12](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2018-12) 2018-12-19 24 20 40% of 20 complete [2018-09](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2018-09) 2018-09-26 24 20 30% of 20 complete [2018-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2018-06) 2018-06-13 19 15 5 of 15, counts only complete [2018-03](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2018-03) 2018-03-21 19 15 5 of 15, counts only complete [2017-12](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2017-12) 2017-12-13 24 20 60% of 20 complete [2017-09](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2017-09) 2017-09-20 24 20 55% of 20 complete [2017-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2017-06) 2017-06-14 19 15 10 of 15, counts only complete [2017-03](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2017-03) 2017-03-15 19 15 9 of 15, counts only complete [2016-12](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2016-12) 2016-12-14 24 20 70% of 20 complete [2016-09](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2016-09) 2016-09-21 24 20 70% of 20 complete [2016-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2016-06) 2016-06-15 19 15 13 of 15, counts only complete [2016-03](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2016-03) 2016-03-16 19 15 11 of 15, counts only complete [2015-12](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2015-12) 2015-12-16 24 20 70% of 20 complete [2015-09](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2015-09) 2015-09-17 24 20 70% of 20 complete [2015-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2015-06) 2015-06-17 34 15 11 of 15, counts only complete [2015-03](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2015-03) 2015-03-18 38 15 11 of 15, counts only complete [2014-12](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2014-12) 2014-12-17 48 20 60% of 20 complete [2014-09](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2014-09) 2014-09-17 48 20 45% of 20 complete [2014-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2014-06) 2014-06-18 38 15 6 of 15, counts only complete [2014-03](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2014-03) 2014-03-19 38 15 7 of 15, counts only complete [2013-12](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2013-12) 2013-12-18 48 20 55% of 20 complete [2013-09](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2013-09) 2013-09-18 48 20 50% of 20 complete [2013-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2013-06) 2013-06-19 38 15 6 of 15, counts only complete [2013-03](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2013-03) 2013-03-20 38 15 8 of 15, counts only complete [2012-12](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2012-12) 2012-12-12 48 20 55% of 20 complete [2012-09](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2012-09) 2012-09-13 48 20 50% of 20 complete [2012-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2012-06) 2012-06-20 38 15 8 of 15, counts only complete [2012-04](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2012-04) 2012-04-25 38 15 8 of 15, counts only complete [2012-01](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2012-01) 2012-01-25 38 15 7 of 15, counts only complete [2011-11](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2011-11) 2011-11-02 38 16 9 of 16, counts only complete [2011-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2011-06) 2011-06-22 30 12 8 of 12, counts only complete [2011-04](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2011-04) 2011-04-27 30 12 8 of 12, counts only complete [2011-01](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2011-01) 2011-02-16 30 12 6 of 12, counts only complete [2010-11](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2010-11) 2010-11-23 38 16 11 of 16, counts only complete [2010-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2010-06) 2010-07-14 30 12 7 of 12, counts only complete [2010-04](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2010-04) 2010-05-19 30 12 6 of 12, counts only complete [2010-01](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2010-01) 2010-02-17 30 12 8 of 12, counts only complete [2009-11](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2009-11) 2009-11-24 38 16 11 of 16, counts only complete [2009-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2009-06) 2009-07-15 30 12 8 of 12, counts only complete [2009-04](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2009-04) 2009-05-20 30 12 6 of 12, counts only complete [2009-01](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2009-01) 2009-02-18 27 12 4 of 12, counts only complete [2008-10](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2008-10) 2008-11-19 32 16 8 of 16, counts only complete [2008-06](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2008-06) 2008-07-16 24 12 1 of 12, counts only complete [2008-04](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2008-04) 2008-05-21 24 12 1 of 12, counts only complete [2008-01](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2008-01) 2008-02-20 24 12 3 of 12, counts only complete [2007-10](/hindsight/federal-reserve/summary-of-economic-projections/2007-10) 2007-11-20 32 16 8 of 16, counts only complete - hit - partial - miss Hit rate per publication: hits over hit, partial and miss. Below 20 graded claims, counts only ([D11](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d11-validation-thresholds)). Rates per publication carry no audit adjustment; the series rate on the publisher page does ([D28](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d28-the-audit-error-rate-widens-every-published-interval-d11-issue-61)). ## 2007-10: by target year - 2007 Hit 4 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 4, counts only - 2008 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 2 Hit rate 1 of 4, counts only - 2009 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 2 Hit rate 1 of 4, counts only - 2010 Hit 2 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 2 of 4, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2007 4 0 0 4 of 4, counts only 2008 1 1 2 1 of 4, counts only 2009 1 1 2 1 of 4, counts only 2010 2 1 1 2 of 4, counts only ## 2008-01: by target year - 2008 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 3 Hit rate 0 of 4, counts only - 2009 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 2 Hit rate 1 of 4, counts only - 2010 Hit 2 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 2 of 4, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2008 0 1 3 0 of 4, counts only 2009 1 1 2 1 of 4, counts only 2010 2 1 1 2 of 4, counts only ## 2008-04: by target year - 2008 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 3 Hit rate 0 of 4, counts only - 2009 Hit 0 Partial 2 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 4, counts only - 2010 Hit 1 Partial 2 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 4, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2008 0 1 3 0 of 4, counts only 2009 0 2 2 0 of 4, counts only 2010 1 2 1 1 of 4, counts only ## 2008-06: by target year - 2008 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 3 Hit rate 0 of 4, counts only - 2009 Hit 0 Partial 2 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 4, counts only - 2010 Hit 1 Partial 2 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 4, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2008 0 1 3 0 of 4, counts only 2009 0 2 2 0 of 4, counts only 2010 1 2 1 1 of 4, counts only ## 2008-10: by target year - 2008 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 3 Hit rate 1 of 4, counts only - 2009 Hit 3 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 3 of 4, counts only - 2010 Hit 3 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 3 of 4, counts only - 2011 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 3 Hit rate 1 of 4, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2008 1 0 3 1 of 4, counts only 2009 3 0 1 3 of 4, counts only 2010 3 0 1 3 of 4, counts only 2011 1 0 3 1 of 4, counts only ## 2009-01: by target year - 2009 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 2 Hit rate 1 of 4, counts only - 2010 Hit 3 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 3 of 4, counts only - 2011 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 3 Hit rate 0 of 4, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2009 1 1 2 1 of 4, counts only 2010 3 0 1 3 of 4, counts only 2011 0 1 3 0 of 4, counts only ## 2009-04: by target year - 2009 Hit 2 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 2 of 4, counts only - 2010 Hit 4 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 4, counts only - 2011 Hit 0 Partial 2 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 4, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2009 2 1 1 2 of 4, counts only 2010 4 0 0 4 of 4, counts only 2011 0 2 2 0 of 4, counts only ## 2009-06: by target year - 2009 Hit 3 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 3 of 4, counts only - 2010 Hit 4 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 4, counts only - 2011 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 2 Hit rate 1 of 4, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2009 3 0 1 3 of 4, counts only 2010 4 0 0 4 of 4, counts only 2011 1 1 2 1 of 4, counts only ## 2009-11: by target year - 2009 Hit 4 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 4, counts only - 2010 Hit 4 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 4, counts only - 2011 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 2 Hit rate 1 of 4, counts only - 2012 Hit 2 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 2 of 4, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2009 4 0 0 4 of 4, counts only 2010 4 0 0 4 of 4, counts only 2011 1 1 2 1 of 4, counts only 2012 2 1 1 2 of 4, counts only ## 2010-01: by target year - 2010 Hit 4 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 4, counts only - 2011 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 2 of 4, counts only - 2012 Hit 2 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 2 of 4, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2010 4 0 0 4 of 4, counts only 2011 2 0 2 2 of 4, counts only 2012 2 1 1 2 of 4, counts only ## 2010-04: by target year - 2010 Hit 3 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 3 of 4, counts only - 2011 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 2 Hit rate 1 of 4, counts only - 2012 Hit 2 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 2 of 4, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2010 3 1 0 3 of 4, counts only 2011 1 1 2 1 of 4, counts only 2012 2 1 1 2 of 4, counts only ## 2010-06: by target year - 2010 Hit 4 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 4, counts only - 2011 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 2 Hit rate 1 of 4, counts only - 2012 Hit 2 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 2 of 4, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2010 4 0 0 4 of 4, counts only 2011 1 1 2 1 of 4, counts only 2012 2 1 1 2 of 4, counts only ## 2010-11: by target year - 2010 Hit 4 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 4, counts only - 2011 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 2 Hit rate 1 of 4, counts only - 2012 Hit 3 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 3 of 4, counts only - 2013 Hit 3 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 3 of 4, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2010 4 0 0 4 of 4, counts only 2011 1 1 2 1 of 4, counts only 2012 3 0 1 3 of 4, counts only 2013 3 0 1 3 of 4, counts only ## 2011-01: by target year - 2011 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 2 Hit rate 1 of 4, counts only - 2012 Hit 2 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 2 of 4, counts only - 2013 Hit 3 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 3 of 4, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2011 1 1 2 1 of 4, counts only 2012 2 1 1 2 of 4, counts only 2013 3 0 1 3 of 4, counts only ## 2011-04: by target year - 2011 Hit 3 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 3 of 4, counts only - 2012 Hit 3 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 3 of 4, counts only - 2013 Hit 2 Partial 2 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 4, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2011 3 0 1 3 of 4, counts only 2012 3 0 1 3 of 4, counts only 2013 2 2 0 2 of 4, counts only ## 2011-06: by target year - 2011 Hit 3 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 3 of 4, counts only - 2012 Hit 3 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 3 of 4, counts only - 2013 Hit 2 Partial 2 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 4, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2011 3 0 1 3 of 4, counts only 2012 3 0 1 3 of 4, counts only 2013 2 2 0 2 of 4, counts only ## 2011-11: by target year - 2011 Hit 4 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 4, counts only - 2012 Hit 2 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 2 of 4, counts only - 2013 Hit 2 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 2 of 4, counts only - 2014 Hit 1 Partial 2 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 4, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2011 4 0 0 4 of 4, counts only 2012 2 1 1 2 of 4, counts only 2013 2 1 1 2 of 4, counts only 2014 1 2 1 1 of 4, counts only ## 2012-01: by target year - 2012 Hit 3 Partial 2 Miss 0 Hit rate 3 of 5, counts only - 2013 Hit 3 Partial 2 Miss 0 Hit rate 3 of 5, counts only - 2014 Hit 1 Partial 3 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2012 3 2 0 3 of 5, counts only 2013 3 2 0 3 of 5, counts only 2014 1 3 1 1 of 5, counts only ## 2012-04: by target year - 2012 Hit 4 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2013 Hit 3 Partial 2 Miss 0 Hit rate 3 of 5, counts only - 2014 Hit 1 Partial 3 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2012 4 0 1 4 of 5, counts only 2013 3 2 0 3 of 5, counts only 2014 1 3 1 1 of 5, counts only ## 2012-06: by target year - 2012 Hit 4 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2013 Hit 2 Partial 3 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 5, counts only - 2014 Hit 2 Partial 2 Miss 1 Hit rate 2 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2012 4 1 0 4 of 5, counts only 2013 2 3 0 2 of 5, counts only 2014 2 2 1 2 of 5, counts only ## 2012-09: by target year - 2012 Hit 5 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 5 of 5, counts only - 2013 Hit 3 Partial 2 Miss 0 Hit rate 3 of 5, counts only - 2014 Hit 2 Partial 2 Miss 1 Hit rate 2 of 5, counts only - 2015 Hit 0 Partial 2 Miss 3 Hit rate 0 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2012 5 0 0 5 of 5, counts only 2013 3 2 0 3 of 5, counts only 2014 2 2 1 2 of 5, counts only 2015 0 2 3 0 of 5, counts only ## 2012-12: by target year - 2012 Hit 5 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 5 of 5, counts only - 2013 Hit 4 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2014 Hit 2 Partial 2 Miss 1 Hit rate 2 of 5, counts only - 2015 Hit 0 Partial 2 Miss 3 Hit rate 0 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2012 5 0 0 5 of 5, counts only 2013 4 1 0 4 of 5, counts only 2014 2 2 1 2 of 5, counts only 2015 0 2 3 0 of 5, counts only ## 2013-03: by target year - 2013 Hit 5 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 5 of 5, counts only - 2014 Hit 3 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 3 of 5, counts only - 2015 Hit 0 Partial 2 Miss 3 Hit rate 0 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2013 5 0 0 5 of 5, counts only 2014 3 1 1 3 of 5, counts only 2015 0 2 3 0 of 5, counts only ## 2013-06: by target year - 2013 Hit 4 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2014 Hit 2 Partial 3 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 5, counts only - 2015 Hit 0 Partial 3 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2013 4 1 0 4 of 5, counts only 2014 2 3 0 2 of 5, counts only 2015 0 3 2 0 of 5, counts only ## 2013-09: by target year - 2013 Hit 4 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2014 Hit 4 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2015 Hit 0 Partial 2 Miss 3 Hit rate 0 of 5, counts only - 2016 Hit 2 Partial 2 Miss 1 Hit rate 2 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2013 4 1 0 4 of 5, counts only 2014 4 1 0 4 of 5, counts only 2015 0 2 3 0 of 5, counts only 2016 2 2 1 2 of 5, counts only ## 2013-12: by target year - 2013 Hit 4 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2014 Hit 4 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2015 Hit 1 Partial 2 Miss 2 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only - 2016 Hit 2 Partial 2 Miss 1 Hit rate 2 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2013 4 1 0 4 of 5, counts only 2014 4 1 0 4 of 5, counts only 2015 1 2 2 1 of 5, counts only 2016 2 2 1 2 of 5, counts only ## 2014-03: by target year - 2014 Hit 5 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 5 of 5, counts only - 2015 Hit 0 Partial 4 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 5, counts only - 2016 Hit 2 Partial 2 Miss 1 Hit rate 2 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2014 5 0 0 5 of 5, counts only 2015 0 4 1 0 of 5, counts only 2016 2 2 1 2 of 5, counts only ## 2014-06: by target year - 2014 Hit 4 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2015 Hit 0 Partial 4 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 5, counts only - 2016 Hit 2 Partial 2 Miss 1 Hit rate 2 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2014 4 1 0 4 of 5, counts only 2015 0 4 1 0 of 5, counts only 2016 2 2 1 2 of 5, counts only ## 2014-09: by target year - 2014 Hit 3 Partial 2 Miss 0 Hit rate 3 of 5, counts only - 2015 Hit 1 Partial 3 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only - 2016 Hit 3 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 3 of 5, counts only - 2017 Hit 2 Partial 2 Miss 1 Hit rate 2 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2014 3 2 0 3 of 5, counts only 2015 1 3 1 1 of 5, counts only 2016 3 1 1 3 of 5, counts only 2017 2 2 1 2 of 5, counts only ## 2014-12: by target year - 2014 Hit 5 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 5 of 5, counts only - 2015 Hit 2 Partial 2 Miss 1 Hit rate 2 of 5, counts only - 2016 Hit 3 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 3 of 5, counts only - 2017 Hit 2 Partial 2 Miss 1 Hit rate 2 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2014 5 0 0 5 of 5, counts only 2015 2 2 1 2 of 5, counts only 2016 3 1 1 3 of 5, counts only 2017 2 2 1 2 of 5, counts only ## 2015-03: by target year - 2015 Hit 5 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 5 of 5, counts only - 2016 Hit 4 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2017 Hit 2 Partial 2 Miss 1 Hit rate 2 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2015 5 0 0 5 of 5, counts only 2016 4 0 1 4 of 5, counts only 2017 2 2 1 2 of 5, counts only ## 2015-06: by target year - 2015 Hit 5 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 5 of 5, counts only - 2016 Hit 4 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2017 Hit 2 Partial 2 Miss 1 Hit rate 2 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2015 5 0 0 5 of 5, counts only 2016 4 1 0 4 of 5, counts only 2017 2 2 1 2 of 5, counts only ## 2015-09: by target year - 2015 Hit 5 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 5 of 5, counts only - 2016 Hit 4 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2017 Hit 2 Partial 2 Miss 1 Hit rate 2 of 5, counts only - 2018 Hit 3 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 3 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2015 5 0 0 5 of 5, counts only 2016 4 1 0 4 of 5, counts only 2017 2 2 1 2 of 5, counts only 2018 3 1 1 3 of 5, counts only ## 2015-12: by target year - 2015 Hit 5 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 5 of 5, counts only - 2016 Hit 4 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2017 Hit 2 Partial 2 Miss 1 Hit rate 2 of 5, counts only - 2018 Hit 3 Partial 2 Miss 0 Hit rate 3 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2015 5 0 0 5 of 5, counts only 2016 4 1 0 4 of 5, counts only 2017 2 2 1 2 of 5, counts only 2018 3 2 0 3 of 5, counts only ## 2016-03: by target year - 2016 Hit 5 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 5 of 5, counts only - 2017 Hit 3 Partial 2 Miss 0 Hit rate 3 of 5, counts only - 2018 Hit 3 Partial 2 Miss 0 Hit rate 3 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2016 5 0 0 5 of 5, counts only 2017 3 2 0 3 of 5, counts only 2018 3 2 0 3 of 5, counts only ## 2016-06: by target year - 2016 Hit 5 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 5 of 5, counts only - 2017 Hit 4 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2018 Hit 4 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2016 5 0 0 5 of 5, counts only 2017 4 1 0 4 of 5, counts only 2018 4 1 0 4 of 5, counts only ## 2016-09: by target year - 2016 Hit 5 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 5 of 5, counts only - 2017 Hit 4 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2018 Hit 4 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2019 Hit 1 Partial 3 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2016 5 0 0 5 of 5, counts only 2017 4 1 0 4 of 5, counts only 2018 4 1 0 4 of 5, counts only 2019 1 3 1 1 of 5, counts only ## 2016-12: by target year - 2016 Hit 5 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 5 of 5, counts only - 2017 Hit 4 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2018 Hit 4 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2019 Hit 1 Partial 2 Miss 2 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2016 5 0 0 5 of 5, counts only 2017 4 1 0 4 of 5, counts only 2018 4 1 0 4 of 5, counts only 2019 1 2 2 1 of 5, counts only ## 2017-03: by target year - 2017 Hit 4 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2018 Hit 4 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2019 Hit 1 Partial 2 Miss 2 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2017 4 1 0 4 of 5, counts only 2018 4 1 0 4 of 5, counts only 2019 1 2 2 1 of 5, counts only ## 2017-06: by target year - 2017 Hit 4 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2018 Hit 5 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 5 of 5, counts only - 2019 Hit 1 Partial 2 Miss 2 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2017 4 1 0 4 of 5, counts only 2018 5 0 0 5 of 5, counts only 2019 1 2 2 1 of 5, counts only ## 2017-09: by target year - 2017 Hit 4 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2018 Hit 5 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 5 of 5, counts only - 2019 Hit 2 Partial 1 Miss 2 Hit rate 2 of 5, counts only - 2020 Hit 0 Partial 2 Miss 3 Hit rate 0 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2017 4 1 0 4 of 5, counts only 2018 5 0 0 5 of 5, counts only 2019 2 1 2 2 of 5, counts only 2020 0 2 3 0 of 5, counts only ## 2017-12: by target year - 2017 Hit 5 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 5 of 5, counts only - 2018 Hit 5 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 5 of 5, counts only - 2019 Hit 2 Partial 1 Miss 2 Hit rate 2 of 5, counts only - 2020 Hit 0 Partial 2 Miss 3 Hit rate 0 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2017 5 0 0 5 of 5, counts only 2018 5 0 0 5 of 5, counts only 2019 2 1 2 2 of 5, counts only 2020 0 2 3 0 of 5, counts only ## 2018-03: by target year - 2018 Hit 4 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2019 Hit 1 Partial 3 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only - 2020 Hit 0 Partial 2 Miss 3 Hit rate 0 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2018 4 1 0 4 of 5, counts only 2019 1 3 1 1 of 5, counts only 2020 0 2 3 0 of 5, counts only ## 2018-06: by target year - 2018 Hit 4 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2019 Hit 1 Partial 3 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only - 2020 Hit 0 Partial 2 Miss 3 Hit rate 0 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2018 4 1 0 4 of 5, counts only 2019 1 3 1 1 of 5, counts only 2020 0 2 3 0 of 5, counts only ## 2018-09: by target year - 2018 Hit 4 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2019 Hit 1 Partial 3 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only - 2020 Hit 0 Partial 2 Miss 3 Hit rate 0 of 5, counts only - 2021 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 4 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2018 4 1 0 4 of 5, counts only 2019 1 3 1 1 of 5, counts only 2020 0 2 3 0 of 5, counts only 2021 1 0 4 1 of 5, counts only ## 2018-12: by target year - 2018 Hit 4 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2019 Hit 3 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 3 of 5, counts only - 2020 Hit 0 Partial 2 Miss 3 Hit rate 0 of 5, counts only - 2021 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 4 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2018 4 1 0 4 of 5, counts only 2019 3 0 2 3 of 5, counts only 2020 0 2 3 0 of 5, counts only 2021 1 0 4 1 of 5, counts only ## 2019-03: by target year - 2019 Hit 3 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 3 of 5, counts only - 2020 Hit 0 Partial 2 Miss 3 Hit rate 0 of 5, counts only - 2021 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 4 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2019 3 1 1 3 of 5, counts only 2020 0 2 3 0 of 5, counts only 2021 1 0 4 1 of 5, counts only ## 2019-06: by target year - 2019 Hit 3 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 3 of 5, counts only - 2020 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 3 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only - 2021 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 4 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2019 3 1 1 3 of 5, counts only 2020 1 1 3 1 of 5, counts only 2021 1 0 4 1 of 5, counts only ## 2019-09: by target year - 2019 Hit 4 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2020 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 3 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only - 2021 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 4 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only - 2022 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 3 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2019 4 0 1 4 of 5, counts only 2020 1 1 3 1 of 5, counts only 2021 1 0 4 1 of 5, counts only 2022 1 1 3 1 of 5, counts only ## 2019-12: by target year - 2019 Hit 4 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2020 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 3 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only - 2021 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 4 Hit rate 0 of 5, counts only - 2022 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 3 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2019 4 0 1 4 of 5, counts only 2020 1 1 3 1 of 5, counts only 2021 0 1 4 0 of 5, counts only 2022 1 1 3 1 of 5, counts only ## 2020-06: by target year - 2020 Hit 3 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 3 of 5, counts only - 2021 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 3 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only - 2022 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 5 Hit rate 0 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2020 3 0 2 3 of 5, counts only 2021 1 1 3 1 of 5, counts only 2022 0 0 5 0 of 5, counts only ## 2020-09: by target year - 2020 Hit 3 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 3 of 5, counts only - 2021 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 4 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only - 2022 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 5 Hit rate 0 of 5, counts only - 2023 Hit 1 Partial 2 Miss 2 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2020 3 1 1 3 of 5, counts only 2021 1 0 4 1 of 5, counts only 2022 0 0 5 0 of 5, counts only 2023 1 2 2 1 of 5, counts only ## 2020-12: by target year - 2020 Hit 4 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2021 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 3 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only - 2022 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 4 Hit rate 0 of 5, counts only - 2023 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 3 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2020 4 0 1 4 of 5, counts only 2021 1 1 3 1 of 5, counts only 2022 0 1 4 0 of 5, counts only 2023 1 1 3 1 of 5, counts only ## 2021-03: by target year - 2021 Hit 2 Partial 1 Miss 2 Hit rate 2 of 5, counts only - 2022 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 4 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only - 2023 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 3 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2021 2 1 2 2 of 5, counts only 2022 1 0 4 1 of 5, counts only 2023 1 1 3 1 of 5, counts only ## 2021-06: by target year - 2021 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 3 Hit rate 2 of 5, counts only - 2022 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 4 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only - 2023 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 3 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2021 2 0 3 2 of 5, counts only 2022 1 0 4 1 of 5, counts only 2023 1 1 3 1 of 5, counts only ## 2021-09: by target year - 2021 Hit 2 Partial 1 Miss 2 Hit rate 2 of 5, counts only - 2022 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 4 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only - 2023 Hit 1 Partial 2 Miss 2 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only - 2024 Hit 1 Partial 3 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2021 2 1 2 2 of 5, counts only 2022 1 0 4 1 of 5, counts only 2023 1 2 2 1 of 5, counts only 2024 1 3 1 1 of 5, counts only ## 2021-12: by target year - 2021 Hit 5 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 5 of 5, counts only - 2022 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 4 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only - 2023 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 3 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only - 2024 Hit 1 Partial 3 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2021 5 0 0 5 of 5, counts only 2022 1 0 4 1 of 5, counts only 2023 1 1 3 1 of 5, counts only 2024 1 3 1 1 of 5, counts only ## 2022-03: by target year - 2022 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 4 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only - 2023 Hit 2 Partial 1 Miss 2 Hit rate 2 of 5, counts only - 2024 Hit 1 Partial 3 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2022 1 0 4 1 of 5, counts only 2023 2 1 2 2 of 5, counts only 2024 1 3 1 1 of 5, counts only ## 2022-06: by target year - 2022 Hit 2 Partial 3 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 5, counts only - 2023 Hit 2 Partial 1 Miss 2 Hit rate 2 of 5, counts only - 2024 Hit 2 Partial 3 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2022 2 3 0 2 of 5, counts only 2023 2 1 2 2 of 5, counts only 2024 2 3 0 2 of 5, counts only ## 2022-09: by target year - 2022 Hit 2 Partial 2 Miss 1 Hit rate 2 of 5, counts only - 2023 Hit 2 Partial 2 Miss 1 Hit rate 2 of 5, counts only - 2024 Hit 3 Partial 2 Miss 0 Hit rate 3 of 5, counts only - 2025 Hit 1 Partial 3 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 4, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2022 2 2 1 2 of 5, counts only 2023 2 2 1 2 of 5, counts only 2024 3 2 0 3 of 5, counts only 2025 1 3 0 1 of 4, counts only ## 2022-12: by target year - 2022 Hit 4 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2023 Hit 3 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 3 of 5, counts only - 2024 Hit 4 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2025 Hit 1 Partial 3 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 4, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2022 4 1 0 4 of 5, counts only 2023 3 1 1 3 of 5, counts only 2024 4 0 1 4 of 5, counts only 2025 1 3 0 1 of 4, counts only ## 2023-03: by target year - 2023 Hit 3 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 3 of 5, counts only - 2024 Hit 4 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2025 Hit 1 Partial 3 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 4, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2023 3 1 1 3 of 5, counts only 2024 4 0 1 4 of 5, counts only 2025 1 3 0 1 of 4, counts only ## 2023-06: by target year - 2023 Hit 4 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2024 Hit 4 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2025 Hit 2 Partial 2 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 4, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2023 4 0 1 4 of 5, counts only 2024 4 0 1 4 of 5, counts only 2025 2 2 0 2 of 4, counts only ## 2023-09: by target year - 2023 Hit 4 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2024 Hit 3 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 3 of 5, counts only - 2025 Hit 3 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 3 of 4, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2023 4 0 1 4 of 5, counts only 2024 3 1 1 3 of 5, counts only 2025 3 1 0 3 of 4, counts only ## 2023-12: by target year - 2023 Hit 4 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2024 Hit 4 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2025 Hit 2 Partial 2 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 4, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2023 4 1 0 4 of 5, counts only 2024 4 0 1 4 of 5, counts only 2025 2 2 0 2 of 4, counts only ## 2024-03: by target year - 2024 Hit 4 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2025 Hit 2 Partial 2 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 4, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2024 4 1 0 4 of 5, counts only 2025 2 2 0 2 of 4, counts only ## 2024-06: by target year - 2024 Hit 3 Partial 2 Miss 0 Hit rate 3 of 5, counts only - 2025 Hit 4 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 4, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2024 3 2 0 3 of 5, counts only 2025 4 0 0 4 of 4, counts only ## 2024-09: by target year - 2024 Hit 4 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 5, counts only - 2025 Hit 2 Partial 2 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 4, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2024 4 1 0 4 of 5, counts only 2025 2 2 0 2 of 4, counts only ## 2024-12: by target year - 2024 Hit 5 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 5 of 5, counts only - 2025 Hit 4 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 4, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2024 5 0 0 5 of 5, counts only 2025 4 0 0 4 of 4, counts only --- Data, code and grading rules are public at [github.com/envisioning/hindsight](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight). Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in [the decision log](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md). Think a verdict is wrong? [Open a dispute](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/issues/new?template=dispute-verdict.yml). ---