SEP compilation Table 2, unemployment rate, longer run

unemployment rate in : 5 %

Source

Verdict

Not graded yet.

The same forecast in other editions

• 2009-045 %
• 2009-065 %
• 2009-115 %
• 2010-015 %
• 2010-045 %
• 2010-065 %
• 2010-115.3 %
• 2011-015.3 %
• 2011-045.3 %
• 2011-065.4 %
• 2011-115.4 %
• 2012-015.5 %
• 2012-045.5 %
• 2012-065.5 %
• 2012-095.5 %
• 2012-125.5 %
• 2013-035.5 %
• 2013-065.4 %
• 2013-095.4 %
• 2013-125.4 %
• 2014-035.35 %
• 2014-065.25 %
• 2014-095.2 %
• 2014-125.2 %
• 2015-035 %

All captured fields

variable

unemployment rate

metric

unemployment rate

statistic

median (computed from individual projections)

horizon

longer_run

value

5

unit

%

definition

Average civilian unemployment rate in the fourth quarter of the year indicated

confidence

medium

note

Not published at the time. Median computed by Hindsight from the 17 individual projections in Table 2 of the SEP compilation, which the Federal Reserve released with a five-year lag. The central tendency was the published statistic at the time.