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Spheres of influence · Hindsight | Envisioning

Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

Spheres of influence

Eurasia Group, Top Risks, 2026, published 2026-01-05

Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual

We're skeptical.

Source

Verdict

Not graded yet.

All captured fields

ranking: red herrings
rank: 3
summary: Eurasia Group doubts that great powers will carve the world into spheres of influence.
horizon: calendar year
confidence: high
note: Red herrings are not ranked; rank is the printed order.

Permalink

https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eurasia-top-risks-2026-013

Cite

Hindsight, claim eurasia-top-risks-2026-013. Envisioning. https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eurasia-top-risks-2026-013

Dispute this verdict

Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight. Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log. Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute.