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Partitioned Ukraine · Hindsight | Envisioning

Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

Partitioned Ukraine

Eurasia Group, Top Risks, 2024, published 2024-01-08

Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual

Ukraine will be de facto partitioned this year, an unacceptable outcome for Ukraine and the West that will nevertheless become reality.

Source

Verdict

Not graded yet.

All captured fields

ranking: top risks
rank: 3
summary: Ukraine becomes divided in practice, against the wishes of Kyiv and the West.
horizon: calendar year
confidence: high

Permalink

https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eurasia-top-risks-2024-003

Cite

Hindsight, claim eurasia-top-risks-2024-003. Envisioning. https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eurasia-top-risks-2024-003

Dispute this verdict

Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight. Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log. Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute.