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Middle East on the brink · Hindsight | Envisioning

Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

Middle East on the brink

Eurasia Group, Top Risks, 2024, published 2024-01-08

Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual

The region is a tinderbox, and the number of players carrying matches makes the risk of escalation exceptionally high.

Source

Verdict

Not graded yet.

All captured fields

ranking: top risks
rank: 2
summary: Many armed actors make escalation of the Gaza war into a wider regional war likely.
horizon: calendar year
confidence: high

Permalink

https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eurasia-top-risks-2024-002

Cite

Hindsight, claim eurasia-top-risks-2024-002. Envisioning. https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eurasia-top-risks-2024-002

Dispute this verdict

Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight. Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log. Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute.