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Iran-US confrontation · Hindsight | Envisioning

Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

Iran-US confrontation

Eurasia Group, Top Risks, 2021, published 2021-01-04

Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual

Absent a clear dash to a bomb, the risk of war is low.

Source

Verdict

Not graded yet.

All captured fields

ranking: red herrings
rank: 3
summary: Eurasia Group sees low risk of US-Iran war unless Iran races for a bomb.
horizon: calendar year
confidence: high
note: Red herrings are not ranked; rank is the printed order.

Permalink

https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eurasia-top-risks-2021-013

Cite

Hindsight, claim eurasia-top-risks-2021-013. Envisioning. https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eurasia-top-risks-2021-013

Dispute this verdict

Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight. Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log. Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute.