achieving reducing error rate by Moore's Law's pace, quantum computing would not be useful for cryptographic decryption until the 2040s.
Source
Verdict
Not graded yet.
All captured fields
- idea
- The Great Acceleration
- horizon
- 2040s
- metric
- year quantum computing could break RSA-2048
- value
- 2044-2063
- unit
- year range across three cases
- subject
- Quantum computing
- page
- 12
- confidence
- medium
- note
- Chart labels: aggressive case 2044, acceleration case 2054, status quo 2063. A negative forecast (technology not disruptive this decade).