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Autonomous ride-hailing adoption · Hindsight | Envisioning

Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

Autonomous ride-hailing adoption

ARK Invest, Big Ideas, 2025, published 2025-02-04

Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual

By 2030, ARK's research suggests that the number of robotaxis will have scaled to roughly 50 million globally, with Tesla at ~50% market share.

Source

Verdict

Not graded yet.

All captured fields

idea: Robotaxis
target year: 2030
metric: global robotaxi fleet
value: 50000000
unit: vehicles
subject: Autonomous ride-hailing adoption
page: 76
confidence: high
note: Same sentence: one named company at about 50% share.

Permalink

https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/ark-big-ideas-2025-013

Cite

Hindsight, claim ark-big-ideas-2025-013. Envisioning. https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/ark-big-ideas-2025-013

Dispute this verdict

Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight. Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log. Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute.