If Tesla launches its autonomous ride-hailing service successfully in 2022, ARK estimates adoption could approach 20% by 2025. Source
Verdict Not graded yet.
All captured fields
idea Autonomous Ride-Hailing
target year 2025
metric North America autonomous vehicle adoption
value 20
unit percent
subject Autonomous ride-hailing adoption
page 69
confidence high
note Conditional. Same slide: ARK assigns a 30% probability to a successful Tesla launch; if Waymo or GM succeed instead, adoption probably limited to 1% during the next five years. Permalink
https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/ark-big-ideas-2021-024
Cite
Hindsight, claim ark-big-ideas-2021-024. Envisioning. https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/ark-big-ideas-2021-024
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