Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated
The PDF is marked 'Updated March 19, 2018'; cryptoasset data is as of 2018-02-28. The original launch date was not confirmed, so `published` is the year only. Skipped: about 15 claims without a number or without a date, for example CRISPR monogenic market USD 75 billion per year and CAR-T USD 250 billion per year (no year), 'ARK expects CRISPR to enter human trials in 2018' (dated, not numeric), the cryptoasset expectations (no number), and GE's own 2020 3D printing targets (GE's forecast, not ARK's).
Deep Learning could approach a global market cap of $17 trillion in 20 years.
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Personal Mobility Should Become More Affordable. The price of personal mobility has not changed since the Model T.
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ARK foresees a wholesale shift to electric vehicles (EVs). By 2022 EVs should be cheaper than comparable gas-powered cars.
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...the demand for EVs should be orders of magnitude higher than current forecasts.
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By 2022, the cost of sequencing or “reading” the DNA of a full human genome should drop below $100
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ARK's research shows globally, mobile value transfers are expected to grow 5-fold and to reach $30 trillion by 2022.
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ARK's research predicts the 3D printing market could grow to $65 billion by 2022.
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Industrial robots are continuing to decline in cost, expanding the addressable market.
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Research Shows Robot Growth Should Be Sustained By More Use Cases
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ARK Believes Collaborative Robots Should Gain Market Share
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By 2025, CRISPR could expand the agricultural market by an estimated $170 billion
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2025: CRISPR may increase agricultural productivity enough to feed an additional 800 million people
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ARK believes autonomous platform providers will be roughly 9 times more valuable than the automakers.
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While ARK expects global vehicle miles to increase two- to three-fold, auto sales should be flat to down, thanks to the higher utilization of taxi fleets.
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