Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated
Mainly a self-assessment of earlier books; the author's verdicts are in self_assessment.json. This file holds only the new or restated forward claims in the author's own voice with an explicit year. Forecasts the essay attributes to others (IDC, analysts, IBM, Cray, Blue Brain) are not captured.
Translating telephone technology is likely to become quite popular on many smartphones worldwide in 2010.
rank 1kurzweil-2010-001
One of my key (and consistent) predictions is that a computer will pass the Turing test by 2029.
rank 2kurzweil-2010-002
In my view, it will take about two decades to fully simulate the human brain, around 2029, but that is still not far away.
rank 3kurzweil-2010-003