Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated
Forecast vs actual How each edition’s forecast compared with what happened.
Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual -2.7 -0.8 1.2 3.1 5.1 7.0 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 2022 2026 Real GDP growth, % WEO 1990-04 WEO 1990-04: 1991 = 3.087 WEO 1990-10 WEO 1990-10: 1991 = 2.442 WEO 1991-04 WEO 1991-04: 1992 = 2.927 WEO 1991-10 WEO 1991-10: 1992 = 2.786 WEO 1992-04 WEO 1992-04: 1993 = 3.568 Each dot is one WEO edition's forecast for that year. The black line is what happened. Aggregates use the country groups of their own edition; the actual line uses the April 2026 groups.
Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight . Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log . Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute .