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Research Capability Services Signals About

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Hindsight: forecast vs actual | Envisioning

Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

Forecast vs actual

How each edition’s forecast compared with what happened.

Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual

IMF: GDP growth IEA: solar and wind US EIA: energy

Series

Each line is one Annual Energy Outlook's reference case, as tabulated in EIA's own retrospective reviews. The black line is what happened.

Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight. Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log. Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute.