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Summary of Economic Projections 2015-09 · Hindsight | Envisioning

Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

Summary of Economic Projections, 2015-09

US Federal Reserve · all publications · published 2015-09-17 · 24 predictions

Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual

complete← 2015-06 2015-12 →

www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomcprojtabl20150917.h

no year

not graded
Table 1, median
real GDP growth in : 2 %
fed-sep-2015-09-005
not graded
Table 1, median
unemployment rate in : 4.9 %
fed-sep-2015-09-010
not graded
Table 1, median
PCE inflation in : 2 %
fed-sep-2015-09-015
not graded
Table 1, median
federal funds rate in : 3.5 %
fed-sep-2015-09-024

2015

not graded
Table 1, median
real GDP growth in 2015: 2.1 %
fed-sep-2015-09-001
not graded
Table 1, median
unemployment rate in 2015: 5 %
fed-sep-2015-09-006
not graded
Table 1, median
PCE inflation in 2015: 0.4 %
fed-sep-2015-09-011
not graded
Table 1, median
core PCE inflation in 2015: 1.4 %
fed-sep-2015-09-016
not graded

2016

not graded
Table 1, median
real GDP growth in 2016: 2.3 %
fed-sep-2015-09-002
not graded
Table 1, median
unemployment rate in 2016: 4.8 %
fed-sep-2015-09-007
not graded
Table 1, median
PCE inflation in 2016: 1.7 %
fed-sep-2015-09-012
not graded
Table 1, median
core PCE inflation in 2016: 1.7 %
fed-sep-2015-09-017
not graded

2017

not graded
Table 1, median
real GDP growth in 2017: 2.2 %
fed-sep-2015-09-003
not graded
Table 1, median
unemployment rate in 2017: 4.8 %
fed-sep-2015-09-008
not graded
Table 1, median
PCE inflation in 2017: 1.9 %
fed-sep-2015-09-013
not graded
Table 1, median
core PCE inflation in 2017: 1.9 %
fed-sep-2015-09-018
not graded

2018

not graded
Table 1, median
real GDP growth in 2018: 2 %
fed-sep-2015-09-004
not graded
Table 1, median
unemployment rate in 2018: 4.8 %
fed-sep-2015-09-009
not graded
Table 1, median
PCE inflation in 2018: 2 %
fed-sep-2015-09-014
not graded
Table 1, median
core PCE inflation in 2018: 2 %
fed-sep-2015-09-019
not graded

Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight. Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log. Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute.

Table 1, median

federal funds rate in 2015: 0.4 %

fed-sep-2015-09-020

Table 1, median

federal funds rate in 2016: 1.4 %

fed-sep-2015-09-021

Table 1, median

federal funds rate in 2017: 2.6 %

fed-sep-2015-09-022

Table 1, median

federal funds rate in 2018: 3.4 %

fed-sep-2015-09-023