# Envisioning the future of health technology · Hindsight | Envisioning

Source: https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/envisioning/health

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1.  [Hindsight](/hindsight)
2.  ›[Envisioning](/hindsight/envisioning)
3.  ›Envisioning the future of health technology

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# Envisioning the future of health technology

Study posters · 1 publications

Validated: two blind graders, an adjudicator on every disagreement, and an agent audit of a fixed sample ([D20](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d20-agents-do-all-grading-adjudication-and-audit-amends-d7-d11)).

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[Publishers](/hindsight)[Forecast vs actual](/hindsight/forecasts)[Side by side](/hindsight/comparisons)
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[Publications](/hindsight/envisioning/health)[Audit](/hindsight/envisioning/health/audit)

-   [2012](/hindsight/envisioning/health/2012)
    
    Published
    
    2012-09
    
    Predictions
    
    55
    
    Graded
    
    28
    
    Hit rate
    
    43% of 28
    
    Status
    
    complete
    

Publication

Published

Predictions

Graded

Hit rate

Status

[2012](/hindsight/envisioning/health/2012)

2012-09

55

28

43% of 28

complete

-   hit
-   partial
-   miss

Hit rate per publication: hits over hit, partial and miss. Below 20 graded claims, counts only ([D11](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d11-validation-thresholds)). Rates per publication carry no audit adjustment; the series rate on the publisher page does ([D28](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d28-the-audit-error-rate-widens-every-published-interval-d11-issue-61)).

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Data, code and grading rules are public at [github.com/envisioning/hindsight](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight). Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in [the decision log](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md). Think a verdict is wrong? [Open a dispute](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/issues/new?template=dispute-verdict.yml).
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