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State-based armed conflict · Hindsight | Envisioning

Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

State-based armed conflict

World Economic Forum, Global Risks Report, 2026, published 2026-01

Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual

State-based armed conflict

Source

Verdict

Not graded yet.

The same forecast in other editions

202523 % of respondents
2025rank 3
202614 % of respondents
2026rank 5

All captured fields

ranking: 2-year
rank: 5
category: geopolitical
horizon: 2 years (to 2028)
confidence: high

Permalink

https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/wef-global-risks-2026-013

Cite

Hindsight, claim wef-global-risks-2026-013. Envisioning. https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/wef-global-risks-2026-013

Dispute this verdict

Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight. Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log. Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute.