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Research Capability Services Signals About

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Extreme weather events · Hindsight | Envisioning

Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

Extreme weather events

World Economic Forum, Global Risks Report, 2026, published 2026-01

Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual

Extreme weather events

Source

Verdict

Not graded yet.

The same forecast in other editions

2014rank 2
202152.7 % of respondents
2024rank 2
2024rank 1
202514 % of respondents
2025rank 2
2025rank 1
20268 % of respondents
2026rank 4
2026rank 1

All captured fields

ranking: current-year
rank: 3
category: environmental
horizon: 2026
value: 8
unit: % of respondents
metric: share selecting the one risk most likely to present a material crisis on a global scale in 2026 (Figure 2)
confidence: high

Permalink

https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/wef-global-risks-2026-003

Cite

Hindsight, claim wef-global-risks-2026-003. Envisioning. https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/wef-global-risks-2026-003

Dispute this verdict

Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight. Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log. Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute.