missTwo blind graders agree (D7, rule D16). Not in the audit sample (D11).
Grader A: miss
No growing neo-Luddite movement appeared in 1999-2009. Neo-Luddism stayed a small, leaderless set of writers and groups; its last notable events were a 1996 congress and a 2001 teach-in.
Test: Movement-size test: no organization or measurable membership; well under 5% of workers by 2014.
Neo-Luddism (Wikipedia) (2026-09-28): Described as a leaderless movement of non-affiliated groups; notable events 1996 (Second Neo-Luddite Congress) and 2001 (teach-in); no growth data.
Grader B: miss
No growing organized neo-Luddite movement appeared in the 2000s. Neo-Luddism stayed a leaderless, loose set of groups. Its documented gatherings are the 1996 Second Neo-Luddite Congress and a 2001 teach-in. Broad public backlash against technology companies came only in the late 2010s, outside the window.
Test: Test: a visible, growing movement (roughly 5% of adults identifying or participating) by 2009-2014. Actual: no measurable movement; only small gatherings in 1996 and 2001.
Neo-Luddism (Wikipedia) (accessed 2026-09): Described as a leaderless movement of non-affiliated groups; documented events are the 1996 Second Neo-Luddite Congress and a 2001 teach-in; no 2000s growth recorded.
All captured fields
rank
101
kind
decade_prediction
section
Politics & Society
subject
Growing neo-Luddite movement
target year
2009
timing
in
position
Chapter 9, "2009"; item Politics & Society 5 in Kurzweil 2010, p. 87
confidence
high
note
Wording as reproduced by the author in "How My Predictions Are Faring" (2010); book page not given there. Subject label is the essay's own item heading.