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China as economic powerhouse

Ray Kurzweil, Books and essays, 1999, published 1999-01

China has also emerged as a powerful economic player.

Verdict

hitTwo blind graders agree (D7, rule D16). The auditor agent confirmed it (D11).

Grader A: hit

China became a major economic power by 2009-2010. Its nominal GDP passed Japan's in 2010 and it became the second-largest economy.

Test: Rank test: China nominal GDP rank 2 in 2010 ($6.1 trillion, ahead of Japan).

List of countries by largest historical GDP (Wikipedia) (2026-09-28): 2010 nominal GDP: China $6,139bn ahead of Japan $5,759bn.

Grader B: hit

China's GDP rose from $1.10 trillion in 1999 to $5.19 trillion in 2009 and $6.19 trillion in 2010. In 2010 it passed Japan to become the world's second-largest economy. China was clearly a powerful economic player by 2009.

Test: Not an adoption claim. Test: China's rank by GDP. 2009: $5.19T, third (just behind Japan's $5.34T). 2010: $6.19T, second.

World Bank: GDP (current US$), China (accessed 2026-09): China GDP $1.10T (1999), $5.19T (2009), $6.19T (2010), $7.67T (2011).
World Bank: GDP (current US$), Japan (accessed 2026-09): Japan GDP $5.34T (2009), $5.81T (2010); China passed Japan in 2010.

All captured fields

rank: 83
kind: decade_prediction
section: Business & Economics
subject: China as economic powerhouse
target year: 2009
timing: in
position: Chapter 9, "2009"; item Business & Economics 6 in Kurzweil 2010, p. 73
confidence: high
note: Wording as reproduced by the author in "How My Predictions Are Faring" (2010); book page not given there. Subject label is the essay's own item heading.