partialTwo blind graders agree (D7, rule D16). Not in the audit sample (D11).
Grader A: partial
Video calling was available but not routine in 2009-2010. By summer 2010, 19% of American adults (23% of internet users) had ever tried video calls, but only 4% of internet users made one on a typical day, and only 7% of cell owners had made video calls on their phones. Most phone calls were voice only.
Test: At least 20% of users routinely using video in calls: about 19% had ever tried (2010), 4% of internet users on a typical day; share above 5% but not routine.
Video calling existed (Skype, iChat, FaceTime 2010) but was not routine: in 2010 only 7% of Americans had made a mobile video call.
Test: User test: ~7% mobile video calling 2010 (>5%), not routine by 2011.
Wikipedia: Videotelephony (accessed 2026-09-28): Video calling popularized by Skype/iChat; iPhone 4 (2010); a 2010 Pew study found 7% of Americans had made a mobile video call.
Wikipedia: Skype (accessed 2026-09-28): 560M accounts Q4 2009; Skype 12% of international call market 2009, 36% in 2013.
All captured fields
rank
61
kind
decade_prediction
section
Communication
subject
Telephone communication has moving images
target year
2009
timing
in
position
Chapter 9, "2009"; item Communication 4 in Kurzweil 2010, p. 52
confidence
high
note
Wording as reproduced by the author in "How My Predictions Are Faring" (2010); book page not given there. Subject label is the essay's own item heading.