partialTwo blind graders agree (D7, rule D16). Not in the audit sample (D11).
Grader A: partial
In 2009 notebooks (the main portable computers) all had keyboards, and most phones had keypads or keyboards. Keyboardless portable computers (touchscreen smartphones, then the iPad from 2010) became the majority of portable computing units only around 2012-2014.
Test: At least 50% of new portable computing units without a physical keyboard: not in 2009; reached with touchscreen smartphones and tablets around 2012-2014.
Tablet computer (Wikipedia) (retrieved 2026-09): Tablets have no physical keyboard; the 2010 iPad pushed tablets into the mainstream, after 2009.
In 2009 notebooks had keyboards and most phones had keypads. Touch-only smartphones became the majority of phone shipments in 2013, and tablets grew fast from 2010, so the claim became true only in the 2012-2014 window.
Test: Device test: keyboardless touch devices >50% of phone shipments in 2013 (55% smartphones); not in 2009-2011.
Wikipedia: Smartphone (accessed 2026-09-28): Smartphones were 42% of mobile phone shipments in 2012 and 55% in 2013; passed feature phones early 2013.
Wikipedia: iPhone (1st generation) (accessed 2026-09-28): 2007 iPhone: flash storage, multi-touch screen, no physical keyboard; 6.1M units sold to mid-2008.
All captured fields
rank
7
kind
decade_prediction
section
Computers
subject
Keyboardless computers
target year
2009
timing
in
position
Chapter 9, "2009"; item Computers 7 in Kurzweil 2010, p. 16
confidence
high
note
Wording as reproduced by the author in "How My Predictions Are Faring" (2010); book page not given there. Subject label is the essay's own item heading.