Distributed generation

Published 2014-04

Products and services using Distributed generation are generally available around 2022

Verdict

hitTwo blind graders agree (D7, rule D37). The auditor agent confirmed it (D11).

Grader A: hit
Grader B: hit
agrees with A, without seeing its verdict
Audit: confirmed
in the fixed audit sample (D11)
Published: hit

Grader A: hit

Rooftop PV reached grid parity in at least 19 markets by 2014 and was sold widely to households; micro-CHP fuel cells sold in volume in Japan in 2012. Available before the poster.

Test: D37 Horizons: distributed-generation products buyable by ordinary consumers or businesses by 2024 (earlier counts).

Distributed generation (Wikipedia) (2014): PV reached grid parity in at least 19 markets in 2014; 20,000 Ene-Farm units sold in Japan in 2012.

Grader B: hit

Rooftop solar and small CHP were sold widely before 2014; the US had over 400,000 solar homes by 2013 and millions by 2022.

Test: Consumers or businesses could buy distributed generation (e.g. rooftop solar) by 2024 (earlier counts).

SEIA Solar Industry Research Data (2022): Residential distributed solar sold at large scale for years.

In our research

AtmosUltra-Distributed Renewablesnarrower

All captured fields

id: hz-2014-063
category: Energy technologies
kind: technology
target year: 2022
placed year: 2022
milestones: {"scientifically_viable":2017,"mainstream":2021,"financially_viable":2022}
confidence: medium
note: Numbered dot (mainstream point) at 2021.4, midway between the 2021 and 2022 lines (read as 2021). Bar from 2016.6 to 2022.2: scientifically viable ~2017, financially viable ~2022. Sub-area: Smart grid.