Genetically designed food

Published 2014-04

Products and services using Genetically designed food are generally available around 2022

Verdict

missTwo blind graders agree (D7, rule D37). The auditor agent confirmed it (D11).

Grader A: miss
Grader B: miss
agrees with A, without seeing its verdict
Audit: confirmed
in the fixed audit sample (D11)
Published: miss

Grader A: miss

Foods on sale by 2024 are edits of existing species (Sanatech GABA tomato 2021, AquAdvantage salmon), which the poster explicitly distinguishes from genetically designed food. No food organism designed from scratch is available.

Test: D37 Horizons: such designed foods buyable by ordinary consumers by 2024 for a hit; miss if not available by 2027.

Genetically modified tomato (Wikipedia) (2021): Sanatech's gene-edited high-GABA tomato sold in Japan from 2021, a single-gene edit of an existing variety; no foods designed from scratch are described.

Grader B: miss

Food on sale by 2024 came from edits of existing strains (Calyxt high-oleic soybean oil 2019, Sanatech GABA tomato 2021, Pairwise greens 2023), not organisms designed from scratch. The poster explicitly sets this apart from GM food. Window open to 2027.

Test: Consumers could buy de novo-designed food organisms by 2024; partial if limited or by 2025-2027.

Japan Starts Sale of Genome-Edited High-GABA Tomato (2021-09-22): First gene-edited food on sale is a single-base edit of an existing tomato variety, not a de novo design.
Genetically modified food (2024): No commercially sold food organism designed from the ground up.

All captured fields

id: hz-2014-036
category: Agricultural technologies
kind: technology
target year: 2022
placed year: 2022
milestones: {"scientifically_viable":2017,"mainstream":2021,"financially_viable":2022}
confidence: high
note: Numbered dot (mainstream point) at 2020.9, on the 2021 line (read as 2021). Bar from 2016.6 to 2022.0: scientifically viable ~2017, financially viable ~2022. Sub-area: Food.