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Imported crude oil price (IRAC), real · Hindsight | Envisioning

Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

Imported crude oil price (IRAC), real

US Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook, 2022, published 2022

Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual

crude_oil_price_real in 2023: 49.082 2012 USD per barrel

Source

Verdict

Not graded yet.

What happened: 56.7998 2012 USD per barrel (EIA AEO Retrospective)

Forecast error: -7.72 2012 USD per barrel

The same forecast in other editions

200535.6941 2012 USD per barrel
200655.602 2012 USD per barrel
200755.6683 2012 USD per barrel
200860.1633 2012 USD per barrel
2009122.679 2012 USD per barrel
2010107.901 2012 USD per barrel
2011107.763 2012 USD per barrel
2012123.392 2012 USD per barrel
2013110.772 2012 USD per barrel
201495.3795 2012 USD per barrel
201572.6517 2012 USD per barrel
201671.9326 2012 USD per barrel
201766.8413 2012 USD per barrel
201865.9742 2012 USD per barrel
201962.3694 2012 USD per barrel
202054.9105 2012 USD per barrel
202147.0515 2012 USD per barrel
202249.082 2012 USD per barrel
202365.5385 2012 USD per barrel

All captured fields

series: crude_oil_price_real
target year: 2023
value: 49.082
unit: 2012 USD per barrel
case: Reference
retrospective: AEO Retrospective 2025 (data file, pulled August 2025)
column: PRCE_NA_NA_NA_CR_IMCO_USA_RDLRPBRL
confidence: high

Permalink

https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eia-aeo-2022-063

Cite

Hindsight, claim eia-aeo-2022-063. Envisioning. https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eia-aeo-2022-063

Dispute this verdict

Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight. Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log. Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute.