Skip to main content

Envisioning is a research institute that studies how institutions adapt to technological change.

LinkedIn Instagram GitHub

Since 2010

Observatory
Adaptive capacity
Hindsight
Newsletter
Methodology
Origins
Vocab
RSS feeds

Signals Session
Bespoke Projects
Build Sessions
Pricing
Use cases
Signals
Signal Scanfree

ANBIMAFuture of Brazilian Capital Markets
IEEECharting the Energy Transition
Horizon 2045Future of Human and Planetary Security
WKOTechnology Scanning for Austria

solutions

Innovation
Strategy
Consultants
Foresight
Associations
Governments
L&D

resources

Partners
Coding for Non-Coders
Git for non-coders
How we work
Data visualization
Multi-Model Convergence
FAQ
Security and privacy
Public sector

Manifesto
Community
Events
Support
Contact

Research Capability Services Signals About

Research Capability Services Signals About

Total electricity sales excluding direct use · Hindsight | Envisioning

Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

Total electricity sales excluding direct use

US Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook, 2021, published 2021

Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual

electricity_sales in 2024: 3837.92 billion kWh

Source

Verdict

Not graded yet.

What happened: 3961.89 billion kWh (EIA AEO Retrospective)

Forecast error: -123.97 billion kWh

The same forecast in other editions

20055136.25 billion kWh
20064890.91 billion kWh
20074764.63 billion kWh
20084429.6 billion kWh
20094334.6 billion kWh
20104231.06 billion kWh
20114110.37 billion kWh
20124053.14 billion kWh
20134107.69 billion kWh
20144142.59 billion kWh
20154048.99 billion kWh
20163959.21 billion kWh
20173879.43 billion kWh
20183906.7 billion kWh
20193938.36 billion kWh
20203884.17 billion kWh
20213837.92 billion kWh
20223910.69 billion kWh
20233866.86 billion kWh
20253937.61 billion kWh

All captured fields

series: electricity_sales
target year: 2024
value: 3837.92
unit: billion kWh
case: Reference
retrospective: AEO Retrospective 2025 (data file, pulled August 2025)
column: CNSM_NA_ELEP_NA_ELS_NA_USA_BLNKWH
confidence: high

Permalink

https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eia-aeo-2021-098

Cite

Hindsight, claim eia-aeo-2021-098. Envisioning. https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eia-aeo-2021-098

Dispute this verdict

Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight. Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log. Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute.