Skip to main content

Envisioning is a research institute that studies how institutions adapt to technological change.

LinkedIn Instagram GitHub

Since 2010

Observatory
Adaptive capacity
Hindsight
Newsletter
Methodology
Origins
Vocab
RSS feeds

Signals Session
Bespoke Projects
Build Sessions
Pricing
Use cases
Signals
Signal Scanfree

ANBIMAFuture of Brazilian Capital Markets
IEEECharting the Energy Transition
Horizon 2045Future of Human and Planetary Security
WKOTechnology Scanning for Austria

solutions

Innovation
Strategy
Consultants
Foresight
Associations
Governments
L&D

resources

Partners
Coding for Non-Coders
Git for non-coders
How we work
Data visualization
Multi-Model Convergence
FAQ
Security and privacy
Public sector

Manifesto
Community
Events
Support
Contact

Research Capability Services Signals About

Research Capability Services Signals About

Imported crude oil price (IRAC), real · Hindsight | Envisioning

Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

Imported crude oil price (IRAC), real

US Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook, 2018, published 2018

Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual

crude_oil_price_real in 2040: 82.5978 2012 USD per barrel

Source

Verdict

Not graded yet.

The same forecast in other editions

2012143.757 2012 USD per barrel
2013157.716 2012 USD per barrel
2014130.801 2012 USD per barrel
2015122.503 2012 USD per barrel
2016114.658 2012 USD per barrel
201789.9552 2012 USD per barrel
201882.5978 2012 USD per barrel
201986.2276 2012 USD per barrel
202076.9155 2012 USD per barrel
202172.7885 2012 USD per barrel
202266.2768 2012 USD per barrel
202371.5421 2012 USD per barrel
202560.3609 2012 USD per barrel

All captured fields

series: crude_oil_price_real
target year: 2040
value: 82.5978
unit: 2012 USD per barrel
case: Reference
retrospective: AEO Retrospective 2025 (data file, pulled August 2025)
column: PRCE_NA_NA_NA_CR_IMCO_USA_RDLRPBRL
confidence: high

Permalink

https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eia-aeo-2018-092

Cite

Hindsight, claim eia-aeo-2018-092. Envisioning. https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eia-aeo-2018-092

Dispute this verdict

Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight. Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log. Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute.