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Solar net generation (all sectors) · Hindsight | Envisioning

Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

Solar net generation (all sectors)

US Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook, 2016, published 2016

Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual

solar_generation in 2024: 164.618 billion kWh

Source

Verdict

Not graded yet.

What happened: 218.538 billion kWh (EIA AEO Retrospective)

Forecast error: -53.92 billion kWh

The same forecast in other editions

20055.09218 billion kWh
20063.52512 billion kWh
20074.13397 billion kWh
20085.47772 billion kWh
200919.1098 billion kWh
201019.2338 billion kWh
201117.9945 billion kWh
201225.0508 billion kWh
201339.2485 billion kWh
201441.0495 billion kWh
201556.7982 billion kWh
2016164.618 billion kWh
2017134.831 billion kWh
2018174.828 billion kWh
2019238.242 billion kWh
2020267.797 billion kWh
2021250.231 billion kWh
2022356.336 billion kWh
2023340.973 billion kWh
2025305.06 billion kWh

All captured fields

series: solar_generation
target year: 2024
value: 164.618
unit: billion kWh
case: Reference
retrospective: AEO Retrospective 2025 (data file, pulled August 2025)
column: GEN_NA_ALLS_NA_SLR_NA_NA_BLNKWH
confidence: high

Permalink

https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eia-aeo-2016-192

Cite

Hindsight, claim eia-aeo-2016-192. Envisioning. https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eia-aeo-2016-192

Dispute this verdict

Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight. Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log. Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute.