Skip to main content

Envisioning is a research institute that studies how institutions adapt to technological change.

LinkedIn Instagram GitHub

Since 2010

Observatory
Adaptive capacity
Hindsight
Newsletter
Methodology
Origins
Vocab
RSS feeds

Signals Session
Bespoke Projects
Build Sessions
Pricing
Use cases
Signals
Signal Scanfree

ANBIMAFuture of Brazilian Capital Markets
IEEECharting the Energy Transition
Horizon 2045Future of Human and Planetary Security
WKOTechnology Scanning for Austria

solutions

Innovation
Strategy
Consultants
Foresight
Associations
Governments
L&D

resources

Partners
Coding for Non-Coders
Git for non-coders
How we work
Data visualization
Multi-Model Convergence
FAQ
Security and privacy
Public sector

Manifesto
Community
Events
Support
Contact

Research Capability Services Signals About

Research Capability Services Signals About

Solar net generation (all sectors) · Hindsight | Envisioning

Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

Solar net generation (all sectors)

US Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook, 2016, published 2016

Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual

solar_generation in 2022: 142.716 billion kWh

Source

Verdict

Not graded yet.

What happened: 143.792 billion kWh (EIA AEO Retrospective)

Forecast error: -1.08 billion kWh

The same forecast in other editions

20054.06253 billion kWh
20063.28493 billion kWh
20073.62713 billion kWh
20084.88686 billion kWh
200918.7203 billion kWh
201018.8648 billion kWh
201117.6274 billion kWh
201224.3424 billion kWh
201338.1136 billion kWh
201439.3595 billion kWh
201553.6276 billion kWh
2016142.716 billion kWh
2017121.952 billion kWh
2018165.43 billion kWh
2019186.819 billion kWh
2020222.185 billion kWh
2021203.851 billion kWh
2022204.06 billion kWh
2023205.036 billion kWh

All captured fields

series: solar_generation
target year: 2022
value: 142.716
unit: billion kWh
case: Reference
retrospective: AEO Retrospective 2025 (data file, pulled August 2025)
column: GEN_NA_ALLS_NA_SLR_NA_NA_BLNKWH
confidence: high

Permalink

https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eia-aeo-2016-190

Cite

Hindsight, claim eia-aeo-2016-190. Envisioning. https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eia-aeo-2016-190

Dispute this verdict

Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight. Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log. Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute.