Skip to main content

Envisioning is a research institute that studies how institutions adapt to technological change.

LinkedIn Instagram GitHub

Since 2010

Observatory
Adaptive capacity
Hindsight
Newsletter
Methodology
Origins
Vocab
RSS feeds

Signals Session
Bespoke Projects
Build Sessions
Pricing
Use cases
Signals
Signal Scanfree

ANBIMAFuture of Brazilian Capital Markets
IEEECharting the Energy Transition
Horizon 2045Future of Human and Planetary Security
WKOTechnology Scanning for Austria

solutions

Innovation
Strategy
Consultants
Foresight
Associations
Governments
L&D

resources

Partners
Coding for Non-Coders
Git for non-coders
How we work
Data visualization
Multi-Model Convergence
FAQ
Security and privacy
Public sector

Manifesto
Community
Events
Support
Contact

Research Capability Services Signals About

Research Capability Services Signals About

Solar net generation (all sectors) · Hindsight | Envisioning

Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

Solar net generation (all sectors)

US Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook, 2016, published 2016

Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual

solar_generation in 2017: 72.4614 billion kWh

Source

Verdict

Not graded yet.

What happened: 53.2869 billion kWh (EIA AEO Retrospective)

Forecast error: +19.17 billion kWh

The same forecast in other editions

20073.03639 billion kWh
20083.83856 billion kWh
200917.9898 billion kWh
201018.1347 billion kWh
201116.9853 billion kWh
201223.5456 billion kWh
201336.2118 billion kWh
201436.8102 billion kWh
201548.9248 billion kWh
201672.4614 billion kWh
201771.5209 billion kWh
201875.0925 billion kWh

All captured fields

series: solar_generation
target year: 2017
value: 72.4614
unit: billion kWh
case: Reference
retrospective: AEO Retrospective 2022
table: Table 17
confidence: high

Permalink

https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eia-aeo-2016-185

Cite

Hindsight, claim eia-aeo-2016-185. Envisioning. https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eia-aeo-2016-185

Dispute this verdict

Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight. Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log. Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute.